Gremio vs Corinthians Prediction: Odds & Analysis
Prediction and odds for the Serie A Brasil match between Gremio and Corinthians. Statistical analysis with Poisson model probabilities, recent form, ELO rating and head-to-head.
Gremio currently sits in 13 place in the Serie A Brasil standings, while Corinthians is in 15 position. At home this season, Gremio has played 8 matches recording 5 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses, averaging 1.8 goals scored per game. Away from home, Corinthians has 1 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses in 8 matches, scoring an average of 0.8 goals per game. Bookmaker odds for this match: 2.55 for a Gremio win, 3.11 for the draw, and 3.05 for a Corinthians victory.
Serie A Brasil
Saturday, 30 May 2026 • 23:30
Predictions
xG:
1.57
-
0.59
MG 1-3
NG
U2.5
Base
U4.5
93.1%
O0.5
89.9%
1X
84.8%
U3.5
82.6%
12
77.9%
NG
65.9%
U2.5
63.1%
1
62.7%
O1.5
62.4%
U1.5
37.6%
X2
37.3%
O2.5
36.9%
GG
34.1%
X
22.1%
Multigoal
MG 1-5
87.6%
MG 1-4
83.0%
MG 0-3
82.6%
MG 1-3
72.5%
MG 0-2
63.1%
MG 2-6
61.7%
Combo
12+NG
55.9%
1X+NG
55.3%
1+NG
45.2%
1+U2.5
33.6%
1+U+NG
33.6%
1X+GG
29.6%
1+O2.5
29.1%
12+GG
22.0%
X2+NG
20.7%
X+U2.5
19.4%
1+GG
17.5%
1+O+GG
17.5%
Sufficient data
Gremio (Home)
ELO Rating
1,767
Form
1
Current Streaks
No significant active streaks (≥3)
Corinthians (Away)
ELO Rating
1,744
Form
0
Current Streaks
Winless
7
Scoring
2
Over 2.5
2
BTTS Yes
2
Recent Form (Last 5)
Gremio
V
P
S
P
V
8/15 pt
Corinthians
V
S
V
S
V
9/15 pt
Gremio (H)
Season Statistics
(A)
Corinthians
1.75
Avg Goals Scored
0.75
1
Avg Goals Conceded
1.25
38%
% Over 2.5
38%
50%
% BTTS
63%
38%
% Clean Sheets
38%
8
Matches
8
Goal Distribution by Minutes
Gremio (H)
1-15'
1
16-30'
2
31-45'
5
46-60'
9
61-75'
4
76-90'
4
Scored (25)
Corinthians (A)
1-15'
2
16-30'
2
31-45'
0
46-60'
1
61-75'
2
76-90'
4
Scored (11)
Odds
Result (1X2)
12.55
X3.11
23.05
Under / Over 2.5
Over2.40
Under1.60
BTTS
Yes (GG)1.94
No (NG)1.77
* Le quote sono soggette a variazione.
Info
- League Serie A Brasil
- Season 2025/2026
- Matchday 18
- Date 30/05/2026