Genoa vs Sassuolo Prediction: Odds & Analysis
Prediction and odds for the Serie A match between Genoa and Sassuolo. Statistical analysis with Poisson model probabilities, recent form, ELO rating and head-to-head.
Genoa currently sits in 14 place in the Serie A standings, while Sassuolo is in 10 position. At home this season, Genoa has played 16 matches recording 5 wins, 4 draws and 7 losses, averaging 1.2 goals scored per game. Away from home, Sassuolo has 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses in 15 matches, scoring an average of 1.3 goals per game. Bookmaker odds for this match: 2.17 for a Genoa win, 3.44 for the draw, and 3.80 for a Sassuolo victory.
Serie A
Sunday, 12 April 2026 • 13:30
Predictions
xG:
1.15
-
1.43
U3.5
MG 0-3
X2
Base
O0.5
94.0%
U4.5
88.0%
12
77.1%
U3.5
74.0%
O1.5
71.3%
X2
68.2%
1X
54.8%
U2.5
52.3%
GG
50.4%
NG
49.6%
O2.5
47.7%
2
45.2%
1
31.8%
U1.5
28.7%
Multigoal
MG 1-5
89.3%
MG 1-4
82.1%
MG 0-3
74.0%
MG 2-6
69.6%
MG 1-3
68.1%
MG 2-5
66.5%
Combo
12+NG
43.7%
X2+GG
36.4%
12+GG
33.4%
X2+NG
31.7%
1X+GG
30.9%
2+NG
25.8%
2+O2.5
25.0%
1X+NG
23.8%
2+U2.5
20.2%
2+U+NG
20.2%
2+GG
19.4%
2+O+GG
19.4%
Reliable data
Genoa (Home)
ELO Rating
1,706
Form
-2
Current Streaks
No significant active streaks (≥3)
Sassuolo (Away)
ELO Rating
1,754
Form
-6
Current Streaks
Scoring
4
BTTS Yes
4
Winless
2
Recent Form (Last 5)
Genoa
S
V
V
S
S
6/15 pt
Sassuolo
V
S
S
P
V
7/15 pt
Genoa (H)
Season Statistics
(A)
Sassuolo
1.19
Avg Goals Scored
1.27
1.31
Avg Goals Conceded
1.27
56%
% Over 2.5
53%
44%
% BTTS
60%
25%
% Clean Sheets
20%
16
Matches
15
Goal Distribution by Minutes
Genoa (H)
1-15'
4
16-30'
1
31-45'
2
46-60'
3
61-75'
4
76-90'
5
Scored (19)
Sassuolo (A)
1-15'
1
16-30'
2
31-45'
2
46-60'
6
61-75'
6
76-90'
2
Scored (19)
Odds
Result (1X2)
12.17
X3.44
23.80
Under / Over 2.5
Over2.19
Under1.79
BTTS
Yes (GG)1.84
No (NG)1.88
* Le quote sono soggette a variazione.
Info
- League Serie A
- Season 2025/2026
- Matchday 32
- Date 12/04/2026