Granada vs Leonesa Prediction: Odds & Analysis
Prediction and odds for the La Liga 2 match between Granada and Leonesa. Statistical analysis with Poisson model probabilities, recent form, ELO rating and head-to-head.
Granada currently sits in 14 place in the La Liga 2 standings, while Leonesa is in 22 position. At home this season, Granada has played 17 matches recording 5 wins, 8 draws and 4 losses, averaging 1.4 goals scored per game. Away from home, Leonesa has 5 wins, 4 draws and 8 losses in 17 matches, scoring an average of 1.2 goals per game. Bookmaker odds for this match: 1.89 for a Granada win, 3.52 for the draw, and 4.37 for a Leonesa victory.
La Liga 2
Sunday, 12 April 2026 • 15:00
Predictions
xG:
2.24
-
0.85
MG 2-5
1
U3.5
Base
O0.5
96.6%
1X
86.0%
12
83.9%
O1.5
80.2%
U4.5
80.0%
1
69.9%
U3.5
62.8%
O2.5
59.6%
GG
50.0%
NG
50.0%
U2.5
40.4%
O3.5
37.2%
X2
30.1%
O4.5
20.0%
Multigoal
MG 1-5
87.3%
MG 1-4
76.6%
MG 2-6
76.4%
MG 2-5
70.9%
MG 0-3
62.8%
MG 2-4
60.3%
Combo
1+O2.5
47.2%
12+NG
46.5%
1X+GG
43.3%
1X+NG
42.7%
1+NG
39.3%
12+GG
37.4%
1+GG
30.7%
1+O+GG
30.7%
1+U2.5
22.7%
1+U+NG
22.7%
X2+GG
19.4%
1+O+NG
16.5%
Reliable data
Granada (Home)
ELO Rating
1,540
Form
1
Current Streaks
Unbeaten
2
Scoring
2
BTTS Yes
2
Leonesa (Away)
ELO Rating
1,340
Form
-2
Current Streaks
Winless
8
Unbeaten
2
Scoring
2
Under 2.5
2
BTTS Yes
2
Recent Form (Last 5)
Granada
P
V
V
S
S
7/15 pt
Leonesa
S
P
S
P
V
5/15 pt
Granada (H)
Season Statistics
(A)
Leonesa
1.41
Avg Goals Scored
1.24
1.06
Avg Goals Conceded
1.76
35%
% Over 2.5
59%
59%
% BTTS
59%
29%
% Clean Sheets
12%
17
Matches
17
Goal Distribution by Minutes
Granada (H)
1-15'
6
16-30'
7
31-45'
4
46-60'
1
61-75'
3
76-90'
1
Scored (22)
Leonesa (A)
1-15'
4
16-30'
2
31-45'
8
46-60'
3
61-75'
1
76-90'
2
Scored (20)
Odds
Result (1X2)
11.89
X3.52
24.37
Under / Over 2.5
Over2.09
Under1.78
BTTS
Yes (GG)1.87
No (NG)1.83
* Le quote sono soggette a variazione.
Info
- League La Liga 2
- Season 2025/2026
- Matchday 35
- Date 12/04/2026