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Leixoes vs Oliveirense Prediction: Odds & Analysis

Prediction and odds for the Liga Portugal 2 match between Leixoes and Oliveirense. Statistical analysis with Poisson model probabilities, recent form, ELO rating and head-to-head.

Leixoes currently sits in 12 place in the Liga Portugal 2 standings, while Oliveirense is in 18 position. At home this season, Leixoes has played 14 matches recording 5 wins, 1 draws and 8 losses, averaging 1.3 goals scored per game. Away from home, Oliveirense has 1 wins, 6 draws and 7 losses in 14 matches, scoring an average of 0.4 goals per game. Bookmaker odds for this match: 1.77 for a Leixoes win, 3.62 for the draw, and 4.32 for a Oliveirense victory. Leixoes comes into this match on a run of 4 consecutive scoring matches.

Liga Portugal 2
Sunday, 12 April 2026 • 17:30
Predictions
xG: 1.41 - 0.50
MG 1-3 NG U2.5
Base
U4.5 95.5%
U3.5 87.2%
O0.5 86.6%
1X 85.5%
12 75.5%
NG 71.5%
U2.5 70.0%
1 61.0%
O1.5 55.6%
U1.5 44.4%
X2 39.0%
O2.5 30.0%
GG 28.5%
X 24.5%
Multigoal
MG 0-3 87.2%
MG 1-5 85.2%
MG 1-4 82.1%
MG 1-3 73.8%
MG 0-2 70.0%
MG 1-2 56.6%
Combo
1X+NG 60.6%
12+NG 58.1%
1+NG 47.2%
1+U2.5 36.9%
1+U+NG 36.9%
1X+GG 25.0%
X2+NG 24.4%
1+O2.5 24.1%
X+U2.5 22.5%
12+GG 17.4%
X2+GG 14.6%
1+GG 13.9%
Reliable data
Leixoes (Home)
ELO Rating
1,480
Form
-3
Current Streaks
Scoring
4
Over 2.5
4
BTTS Yes
4
Oliveirense (Away)
ELO Rating
1,390
Form
-9
Current Streaks
Winless
7
Failed to score
3
Under 2.5
3
BTTS No
3
Recent Form (Last 5)
Leixoes
V
S
S
V
P
7/15 pt
Oliveirense
P
S
P
S
S
2/15 pt
Leixoes (H)
Season Statistics
(A) Oliveirense
1.29
Avg Goals Scored
0.36
2.21
Avg Goals Conceded
1.07
71%
% Over 2.5
14%
57%
% BTTS
21%
21%
% Clean Sheets
43%
14
Matches
14
Goal Distribution by Minutes
Leixoes (H)
1-15'
2
16-30'
5
31-45'
2
46-60'
5
61-75'
3
76-90'
3
Scored (20)
Oliveirense (A)
1-15'
0
16-30'
1
31-45'
2
46-60'
0
61-75'
2
76-90'
1
Scored (6)

Odds

Result (1X2)
11.77
X3.62
24.32
Under / Over 2.5
Over1.88
Under1.88
BTTS
Yes (GG)1.78
No (NG)1.93
* Le quote sono soggette a variazione.

Info

  • League Liga Portugal 2
  • Season 2025/2026
  • Matchday 29
  • Date 12/04/2026