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Troyes vs Boulogne Prediction: Odds & Analysis

Prediction and odds for the Ligue 2 match between Troyes and Boulogne. Statistical analysis with Poisson model probabilities, recent form, ELO rating and head-to-head.

At home this season, Troyes has played 15 matches recording 12 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses, averaging 2.3 goals scored per game. Away from home, Boulogne has 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 losses in 15 matches, scoring an average of 0.9 goals per game. Troyes comes into this match on a run of 3 consecutive unbeaten matches.

Ligue 2
Saturday, 18 April 2026 • 15:00
Predictions
xG: 1.78 - 0.73
O1.5 MG 1-3 1
Base
O0.5 93.2%
U4.5 89.0%
1X 83.9%
12 80.1%
U3.5 75.6%
O1.5 70.1%
1 64.0%
NG 58.4%
U2.5 54.2%
O2.5 45.8%
GG 41.6%
X2 36.0%
U1.5 29.9%
O3.5 24.4%
Multigoal
MG 1-5 89.0%
MG 1-4 82.2%
MG 0-3 75.6%
MG 1-3 68.8%
MG 2-6 68.6%
MG 2-5 65.8%
Combo
12+NG 51.6%
1X+NG 48.4%
1+NG 41.6%
1X+GG 35.5%
1+O2.5 35.2%
1+U2.5 28.8%
1+U+NG 28.8%
12+GG 28.5%
1+GG 22.4%
1+O+GG 22.4%
X2+GG 19.2%
X2+NG 16.8%
Reliable data
Troyes (Home)
ELO Rating
0
Form
14
Current Streaks
Consecutive wins
3
Unbeaten
3
Scoring
3
Over 2.5
3
BTTS Yes
3
Boulogne (Away)
ELO Rating
1,496
Form
5
Current Streaks
Unbeaten
6
Under 2.5
3
BTTS No
3
Clean Sheets
3
Recent Form (Last 5)
Troyes
V
V
V
V
P
13/15 pt
Boulogne
V
V
P
P
P
9/15 pt
Troyes (H)
Season Statistics
(A) Boulogne
2.33
Avg Goals Scored
0.87
1.13
Avg Goals Conceded
0.87
67%
% Over 2.5
27%
67%
% BTTS
40%
27%
% Clean Sheets
33%
15
Matches
15
Goal Distribution by Minutes
Troyes (H)
1-15'
4
16-30'
3
31-45'
8
46-60'
5
61-75'
5
76-90'
10
Scored (35)
Boulogne (A)
1-15'
1
16-30'
1
31-45'
1
46-60'
1
61-75'
6
76-90'
3
Scored (13)

Info

  • League Ligue 2
  • Season 2025/2026
  • Matchday 31
  • Date 18/04/2026