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Leeds vs Wolves Prediction: Odds & Analysis

Prediction and odds for the Premier League match between Leeds and Wolves. Statistical analysis with Poisson model probabilities, recent form, ELO rating and head-to-head.

At home this season, Leeds has played 16 matches recording 6 wins, 5 draws and 5 losses, averaging 1.4 goals scored per game. Away from home, Wolves has 0 wins, 5 draws and 11 losses in 16 matches, scoring an average of 0.4 goals per game. Leeds comes into this match on a run of 3 consecutive winless matches.

Premier League
Saturday, 18 April 2026 • 17:00
Predictions
xG: 1.36 - 0.50
12 MG 1-3 NG
Base
U4.5 96.0%
U3.5 88.2%
O0.5 85.7%
1X 85.1%
12 74.6%
NG 72.3%
U2.5 71.6%
1 59.7%
O1.5 53.9%
U1.5 46.1%
X2 40.3%
O2.5 28.4%
GG 27.7%
X 25.4%
Multigoal
MG 0-3 88.2%
MG 1-5 84.5%
MG 1-4 81.7%
MG 1-3 74.0%
MG 0-2 71.6%
MG 1-2 57.3%
Combo
1X+NG 60.9%
12+NG 58.0%
1+NG 46.6%
1+U2.5 37.1%
1+U+NG 37.1%
X2+NG 25.7%
1X+GG 24.2%
X+U2.5 23.5%
1+O2.5 22.7%
12+GG 16.6%
X2+GG 14.5%
X+NG 14.3%
Reliable data
Leeds (Home)
ELO Rating
0
Form
-11
Current Streaks
Winless
3
Failed to score
3
Under 2.5
3
BTTS No
3
Wolves (Away)
ELO Rating
1,568
Form
17
Current Streaks
Winless
15
Over 2.5
2
Recent Form (Last 5)
Leeds
P
S
S
P
P
3/15 pt
Wolves
S
V
V
P
S
7/15 pt
Leeds (H)
Season Statistics
(A) Wolves
1.38
Avg Goals Scored
0.44
1.25
Avg Goals Conceded
1.69
56%
% Over 2.5
38%
56%
% BTTS
38%
25%
% Clean Sheets
6%
16
Matches
16
Goal Distribution by Minutes
Leeds (H)
1-15'
4
16-30'
2
31-45'
5
46-60'
3
61-75'
4
76-90'
3
Scored (21)
Wolves (A)
1-15'
0
16-30'
0
31-45'
2
46-60'
2
61-75'
1
76-90'
2
Scored (7)

Info

  • League Premier League
  • Season 2025/2026
  • Matchday 33
  • Date 18/04/2026