Tottenham vs Brighton Prediction: Odds & Analysis
Prediction and odds for the Premier League match between Tottenham and Brighton. Statistical analysis with Poisson model probabilities, recent form, ELO rating and head-to-head.
At home this season, Tottenham has played 16 matches recording 2 wins, 4 draws and 10 losses, averaging 1.1 goals scored per game. Away from home, Brighton has 5 wins, 4 draws and 7 losses in 16 matches, scoring an average of 1.2 goals per game. Tottenham comes into this match on a run of 8 consecutive winless matches.
Premier League
Saturday, 18 April 2026 • 19:30
Predictions
xG:
0.82
-
1.88
O1.5
MG 2-6
2
Base
O0.5
94.7%
U4.5
86.2%
X2
82.9%
12
80.9%
O1.5
73.9%
U3.5
71.3%
2
63.7%
NG
53.8%
O2.5
50.8%
U2.5
49.2%
GG
46.2%
1X
36.3%
O3.5
28.7%
U1.5
26.1%
Multigoal
MG 1-5
88.9%
MG 1-4
80.9%
MG 2-6
71.8%
MG 0-3
71.3%
MG 2-5
68.2%
MG 1-3
65.9%
Combo
12+NG
48.4%
X2+NG
43.9%
X2+GG
39.0%
2+NG
38.6%
2+O2.5
38.0%
12+GG
32.4%
2+U2.5
25.8%
2+U+NG
25.8%
2+GG
25.2%
2+O+GG
25.2%
1X+GG
21.0%
1X+NG
15.2%
Reliable data
Tottenham (Home)
ELO Rating
0
Form
-15
Current Streaks
Winless
8
Over 2.5
6
Brighton (Away)
ELO Rating
1,797
Form
10
Current Streaks
Under 2.5
4
BTTS No
4
Consecutive wins
3
Unbeaten
3
Scoring
3
Recent Form (Last 5)
Tottenham
S
S
S
P
S
1/15 pt
Brighton
V
S
V
V
V
12/15 pt
Tottenham (H)
Season Statistics
(A)
Brighton
1.13
Avg Goals Scored
1.19
1.75
Avg Goals Conceded
1.25
69%
% Over 2.5
38%
69%
% BTTS
50%
13%
% Clean Sheets
31%
16
Matches
16
Goal Distribution by Minutes
Tottenham (H)
1-15'
1
16-30'
2
31-45'
3
46-60'
2
61-75'
3
76-90'
4
Scored (15)
Brighton (A)
1-15'
0
16-30'
2
31-45'
4
46-60'
3
61-75'
3
76-90'
7
Scored (19)
Info
- League Premier League
- Season 2025/2026
- Matchday 33
- Date 18/04/2026