Wrexham vs Stoke Prediction: Odds & Analysis
Prediction and odds for the Championship match between Wrexham and Stoke. Statistical analysis with Poisson model probabilities, recent form, ELO rating and head-to-head.
At home this season, Wrexham has played 21 matches recording 9 wins, 6 draws and 6 losses, averaging 1.8 goals scored per game. Away from home, Stoke has 6 wins, 4 draws and 11 losses in 21 matches, scoring an average of 0.8 goals per game. Wrexham comes into this match on a run of 5 consecutive scoring matches.
Championship
Saturday, 18 April 2026 • 17:00
Predictions
xG:
1.39
-
1.19
U3.5
MG 0-3
1X
Base
O0.5
94.1%
U4.5
88.0%
12
76.9%
U3.5
74.0%
O1.5
71.2%
1X
66.1%
X2
57.0%
U2.5
52.3%
GG
50.6%
NG
49.4%
O2.5
47.7%
1
43.0%
2
33.9%
U1.5
28.8%
Multigoal
MG 1-5
89.3%
MG 1-4
82.1%
MG 0-3
74.0%
MG 2-6
69.6%
MG 1-3
68.1%
MG 2-5
66.5%
Combo
12+NG
43.4%
1X+GG
35.8%
12+GG
33.5%
X2+GG
32.0%
1X+NG
30.3%
X2+NG
25.0%
1+NG
24.4%
1+O2.5
23.6%
1+U2.5
19.4%
1+U+NG
19.4%
2+NG
19.0%
1+GG
18.6%
Reliable data
Wrexham (Home)
ELO Rating
0
Form
-10
Current Streaks
Scoring
5
Stoke (Away)
ELO Rating
1,282
Form
-9
Current Streaks
Winless
7
Recent Form (Last 5)
Wrexham
V
S
V
P
S
7/15 pt
Stoke
V
S
V
S
P
7/15 pt
Wrexham (H)
Season Statistics
(A)
Stoke
1.76
Avg Goals Scored
0.81
1.67
Avg Goals Conceded
1.14
57%
% Over 2.5
33%
76%
% BTTS
29%
19%
% Clean Sheets
33%
21
Matches
21
Goal Distribution by Minutes
Wrexham (H)
1-15'
2
16-30'
6
31-45'
4
46-60'
2
61-75'
5
76-90'
10
Scored (29)
Stoke (A)
1-15'
2
16-30'
0
31-45'
3
46-60'
2
61-75'
3
76-90'
1
Scored (11)
Info
- League Championship
- Season 2025/2026
- Matchday 43
- Date 18/04/2026