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Shakhtar vs Zhytomyr Prediction: Odds & Analysis

Prediction and odds for the Premier League Ukraine match between Shakhtar and Zhytomyr. Statistical analysis with Poisson model probabilities, recent form, ELO rating and head-to-head.

Shakhtar currently sits in 1 place in the Premier League Ukraine standings, while Zhytomyr is in 3 position. At home this season, Shakhtar has played 12 matches recording 10 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses, averaging 2.8 goals scored per game. Away from home, Zhytomyr has 9 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses in 11 matches, scoring an average of 2.4 goals per game. Bookmaker odds for this match: 1.93 for a Shakhtar win, 3.33 for the draw, and 4.32 for a Zhytomyr victory. Shakhtar comes into this match on a run of 15 consecutive scoring matches.

Premier League Ukraine
Monday, 20 April 2026 • 18:00
Predictions
xG: 1.55 - 1.07
U3.5 MG 0-3 1X
Base
O0.5 94.3%
U4.5 87.5%
12 77.7%
U3.5 73.2%
1X 72.2%
O1.5 72.1%
U2.5 51.4%
GG 50.2%
X2 50.1%
1 49.9%
NG 49.8%
O2.5 48.6%
U1.5 27.9%
2 27.8%
Multigoal
MG 1-5 89.2%
MG 1-4 81.8%
MG 0-3 73.2%
MG 2-6 70.3%
MG 1-3 67.5%
MG 2-5 67.0%
Combo
12+NG 44.1%
1X+GG 37.9%
1X+NG 34.3%
12+GG 33.6%
X2+GG 28.8%
1+NG 28.6%
1+O2.5 28.3%
1+U2.5 21.6%
1+U+NG 21.6%
1+GG 21.4%
1+O+GG 21.4%
X2+NG 21.3%
Reliable data
Shakhtar (Home)
ELO Rating
2,265
Form
3
Current Streaks
Scoring
15
Unbeaten
9
Consecutive wins
5
BTTS No
5
Clean Sheets
5
Zhytomyr (Away)
ELO Rating
2,181
Form
3
Current Streaks
Consecutive wins
4
Unbeaten
4
Scoring
4
BTTS No
2
Clean Sheets
2
Recent Form (Last 5)
Shakhtar
V
V
V
V
P
13/15 pt
Zhytomyr
S
V
V
P
V
10/15 pt
Shakhtar (H)
Season Statistics
(A) Zhytomyr
2.75
Avg Goals Scored
2.36
0.67
Avg Goals Conceded
0.64
67%
% Over 2.5
55%
33%
% BTTS
27%
67%
% Clean Sheets
64%
12
Matches
11
Goal Distribution by Minutes
Shakhtar (H)
1-15'
5
16-30'
4
31-45'
5
46-60'
6
61-75'
4
76-90'
16
Scored (40)
Zhytomyr (A)
1-15'
6
16-30'
5
31-45'
8
46-60'
4
61-75'
4
76-90'
4
Scored (31)

Odds

Result (1X2)
11.93
X3.33
24.32
Under / Over 2.5
Over2.18
Under1.64
BTTS
Yes (GG)1.98
No (NG)1.75
* Le quote sono soggette a variazione.

Info

  • League Premier League Ukraine
  • Season 2025/2026
  • Matchday 24
  • Date 20/04/2026