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QPR vs Swansea Prediction: Odds & Analysis

Prediction and odds for the Championship match between QPR and Swansea. Statistical analysis with Poisson model probabilities, recent form, ELO rating and head-to-head.

QPR currently sits in 11 place in the Championship standings, while Swansea is in 15 position. At home this season, QPR has played 21 matches recording 10 wins, 3 draws and 8 losses, averaging 1.8 goals scored per game. Away from home, Swansea has 6 wins, 3 draws and 12 losses in 21 matches, scoring an average of 1.0 goals per game. Bookmaker odds for this match: 2.25 for a QPR win, 3.30 for the draw, and 3.13 for a Swansea victory. QPR comes into this match on a run of 3 consecutive unbeaten matches.

Championship
Tuesday, 21 April 2026 • 21:45
Predictions
xG: 1.49 - 1.47
MG 2-6 U3.5 1X
Base
O0.5 96.3%
U4.5 82.1%
12 78.5%
O1.5 78.1%
U3.5 65.5%
1X 61.2%
X2 60.3%
GG 58.3%
O2.5 56.9%
U2.5 43.1%
NG 41.7%
1 39.7%
2 38.8%
O3.5 34.5%
Multigoal
MG 1-5 88.3%
MG 1-4 78.4%
MG 2-6 74.9%
MG 2-5 70.1%
MG 0-3 65.5%
MG 1-3 61.8%
Combo
12+GG 40.5%
1X+GG 38.3%
12+NG 38.0%
X2+GG 37.8%
1+O2.5 24.8%
2+O2.5 24.1%
1X+NG 22.9%
X2+NG 22.4%
1+GG 20.5%
1+O+GG 20.5%
2+GG 20.0%
2+O+GG 20.0%
Reliable data
QPR (Home)
ELO Rating
1,322
Form
-1
Current Streaks
Unbeaten
3
Swansea (Away)
ELO Rating
1,352
Form
3
Current Streaks
Unbeaten
2
Scoring
2
Recent Form (Last 5)
QPR
V
V
P
P
S
8/15 pt
Swansea
S
P
P
V
S
5/15 pt
QPR (H)
Season Statistics
(A) Swansea
1.76
Avg Goals Scored
0.95
1.52
Avg Goals Conceded
1.43
76%
% Over 2.5
48%
71%
% BTTS
43%
19%
% Clean Sheets
24%
21
Matches
21
Goal Distribution by Minutes
QPR (H)
1-15'
4
16-30'
4
31-45'
6
46-60'
3
61-75'
5
76-90'
8
Scored (30)
Swansea (A)
1-15'
3
16-30'
2
31-45'
1
46-60'
4
61-75'
1
76-90'
4
Scored (15)

Odds

Result (1X2)
12.25
X3.30
23.13
Under / Over 2.5
Over1.89
Under1.89
BTTS
Yes (GG)1.68
No (NG)2.06
* Le quote sono soggette a variazione.

Info

  • League Championship
  • Season 2025/2026
  • Matchday 44
  • Date 21/04/2026