Skip to main content

Vallecano vs Espanyol Prediction: Odds & Analysis

Prediction and odds for the La Liga match between Vallecano and Espanyol. Statistical analysis with Poisson model probabilities, recent form, ELO rating and head-to-head.

Vallecano currently sits in 13 place in the La Liga standings, while Espanyol is in 10 position. At home this season, Vallecano has played 15 matches recording 5 wins, 8 draws and 2 losses, averaging 1.1 goals scored per game. Away from home, Espanyol has 4 wins, 5 draws and 7 losses in 16 matches, scoring an average of 1.2 goals per game. Bookmaker odds for this match: 2.26 for a Vallecano win, 3.19 for the draw, and 3.86 for a Espanyol victory. Vallecano comes into this match on a run of 8 consecutive scoring matches.

La Liga
Thursday, 23 April 2026 • 21:00
Predictions
xG: 1.44 - 0.65
MG 1-3 U2.5 NG
Base
U4.5 93.9%
O0.5 89.1%
U3.5 84.1%
1X 81.7%
12 76.1%
U2.5 65.2%
NG 65.1%
O1.5 60.3%
1 57.8%
X2 42.2%
U1.5 39.7%
GG 34.9%
O2.5 34.8%
X 23.9%
Multigoal
MG 1-5 87.1%
MG 0-3 84.1%
MG 1-4 83.0%
MG 1-3 73.2%
MG 0-2 65.2%
MG 2-6 59.7%
Combo
12+NG 54.2%
1X+NG 52.3%
1+NG 41.4%
1+U2.5 32.2%
1+U+NG 32.2%
1X+GG 29.5%
1+O2.5 25.6%
X2+NG 23.7%
12+GG 21.9%
X+U2.5 20.9%
X2+GG 18.5%
1+GG 16.4%
Reliable data
Vallecano (Home)
ELO Rating
1,666
Form
-5
Current Streaks
Scoring
8
Unbeaten
5
Under 2.5
2
Espanyol (Away)
ELO Rating
1,618
Form
-6
Current Streaks
Winless
8
Recent Form (Last 5)
Vallecano
P
P
S
V
S
5/15 pt
Espanyol
P
S
S
P
S
2/15 pt
Vallecano (H)
Season Statistics
(A) Espanyol
1.13
Avg Goals Scored
1.19
0.73
Avg Goals Conceded
1.69
27%
% Over 2.5
56%
53%
% BTTS
63%
40%
% Clean Sheets
31%
15
Matches
16
Goal Distribution by Minutes
Vallecano (H)
1-15'
1
16-30'
0
31-45'
7
46-60'
2
61-75'
4
76-90'
3
Scored (17)
Espanyol (A)
1-15'
2
16-30'
0
31-45'
2
46-60'
7
61-75'
1
76-90'
5
Scored (17)

Odds

Result (1X2)
12.26
X3.19
23.86
Under / Over 2.5
Over2.23
Under1.77
BTTS
Yes (GG)1.85
No (NG)1.87
* Le quote sono soggette a variazione.

Info

  • League La Liga
  • Season 2025/2026
  • Matchday 33
  • Date 23/04/2026