Oviedo vs Villarreal Prediction: Odds & Analysis
Prediction and odds for the La Liga match between Oviedo and Villarreal. Statistical analysis with Poisson model probabilities, recent form, ELO rating and head-to-head.
At home this season, Oviedo has played 15 matches recording 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 losses, averaging 0.5 goals scored per game. Away from home, Villarreal has 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses in 15 matches, scoring an average of 1.3 goals per game.
La Liga
Thursday, 23 April 2026 • 22:30
Predictions
xG:
0.43
-
1.12
MG 1-3
12
X2+NG
Base
U4.5
97.9%
U3.5
92.8%
X2
84.3%
O0.5
80.1%
U2.5
79.6%
NG
77.6%
12
69.9%
U1.5
55.4%
2
54.2%
1X
45.8%
O1.5
44.6%
X
30.1%
GG
22.4%
O2.5
20.4%
Multigoal
MG 0-3
92.8%
MG 1-5
79.6%
MG 0-2
79.6%
MG 1-4
78.0%
MG 1-3
72.9%
MG 1-2
59.7%
Combo
X2+NG
64.8%
12+NG
57.8%
2+NG
44.9%
2+U2.5
38.2%
2+U+NG
38.2%
1X+NG
32.7%
X+U2.5
28.8%
X+NG
19.9%
X+U+NG
19.9%
X2+GG
19.6%
2+O2.5
16.0%
1X+GG
13.1%
Reliable data
Oviedo (Home)
ELO Rating
0
Form
0
Current Streaks
Under 2.5
3
BTTS No
3
Consecutive wins
2
Unbeaten
2
Scoring
2
Villarreal (Away)
ELO Rating
0
Form
0
Current Streaks
Winless
3
Under 2.5
2
Recent Form (Last 5)
Oviedo
S
P
V
S
V
7/15 pt
Villarreal
S
V
P
V
S
7/15 pt
Oviedo (H)
Season Statistics
(A)
Villarreal
0.47
Avg Goals Scored
1.33
0.93
Avg Goals Conceded
1.47
20%
% Over 2.5
47%
20%
% BTTS
60%
53%
% Clean Sheets
20%
15
Matches
15
Goal Distribution by Minutes
Oviedo (H)
1-15'
0
16-30'
2
31-45'
3
46-60'
0
61-75'
2
76-90'
0
Scored (7)
Villarreal (A)
1-15'
2
16-30'
2
31-45'
3
46-60'
6
61-75'
2
76-90'
5
Scored (20)
Info
- League La Liga
- Season 2025/2026
- Matchday 33
- Date 23/04/2026