Varazdin vs Rijeka Prediction: Odds & Analysis
Prediction and odds for the HNL match between Varazdin and Rijeka. Statistical analysis with Poisson model probabilities, recent form, ELO rating and head-to-head.
Varazdin currently sits in 4 place in the HNL standings, while Rijeka is in 3 position. At home this season, Varazdin has played 17 matches recording 7 wins, 6 draws and 4 losses, averaging 1.4 goals scored per game. Away from home, Rijeka has 4 wins, 6 draws and 6 losses in 16 matches, scoring an average of 1.1 goals per game. Bookmaker odds for this match: 3.42 for a Varazdin win, 3.20 for the draw, and 2.14 for a Rijeka victory. Varazdin comes into this match on a run of 4 consecutive unbeaten matches.
HNL
Wednesday, 22 April 2026 • 18:45
Predictions
xG:
1.28
-
0.99
MG 1-3
1X
O1.5
Base
U4.5
92.0%
O0.5
91.3%
U3.5
80.6%
12
75.2%
1X
69.6%
O1.5
64.4%
U2.5
60.5%
NG
56.4%
X2
55.2%
1
44.8%
GG
43.6%
O2.5
39.5%
U1.5
35.6%
2
30.4%
Multigoal
MG 1-5
88.5%
MG 1-4
83.3%
MG 0-3
80.6%
MG 1-3
72.0%
MG 2-6
63.6%
MG 2-5
61.6%
Combo
12+NG
47.7%
1X+NG
37.2%
1X+GG
32.4%
1+NG
28.6%
X2+NG
27.9%
12+GG
27.4%
X2+GG
27.4%
1+U2.5
23.4%
1+U+NG
23.4%
1+O2.5
21.3%
X+U2.5
20.1%
2+NG
19.2%
Reliable data
Varazdin (Home)
ELO Rating
1,943
Form
6
Current Streaks
Unbeaten
4
Scoring
4
BTTS Yes
2
Rijeka (Away)
ELO Rating
1,947
Form
-9
Current Streaks
Unbeaten
2
Scoring
2
Recent Form (Last 5)
Varazdin
V
S
P
V
V
10/15 pt
Rijeka
S
S
V
S
P
4/15 pt
Varazdin (H)
Season Statistics
(A)
Rijeka
1.35
Avg Goals Scored
1.06
1.29
Avg Goals Conceded
1.25
53%
% Over 2.5
44%
65%
% BTTS
50%
29%
% Clean Sheets
25%
17
Matches
16
Goal Distribution by Minutes
Varazdin (H)
1-15'
5
16-30'
4
31-45'
4
46-60'
3
61-75'
2
76-90'
4
Scored (22)
Rijeka (A)
1-15'
4
16-30'
3
31-45'
2
46-60'
4
61-75'
3
76-90'
1
Scored (17)
Odds
Result (1X2)
13.42
X3.20
22.14
Under / Over 2.5
Over2.16
Under1.66
BTTS
Yes (GG)1.87
No (NG)1.83
* Le quote sono soggette a variazione.
Info
- League HNL
- Season 2025/2026
- Matchday 31
- Date 22/04/2026