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Vukovar 1991 vs Gorica Prediction: Odds & Analysis

Prediction and odds for the HNL match between Vukovar 1991 and Gorica. Statistical analysis with Poisson model probabilities, recent form, ELO rating and head-to-head.

Vukovar 1991 currently sits in 10 place in the HNL standings, while Gorica is in 8 position. At home this season, Vukovar 1991 has played 15 matches recording 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 losses, averaging 1.3 goals scored per game. Away from home, Gorica has 4 wins, 6 draws and 7 losses in 17 matches, scoring an average of 1.0 goals per game. Bookmaker odds for this match: 2.81 for a Vukovar 1991 win, 3.22 for the draw, and 2.42 for a Gorica victory. Vukovar 1991 comes into this match on a run of 5 consecutive winless matches.

Predictions
xG: 0.94 - 1.77
O1.5 MG 2-6 2
Base
O0.5 94.8%
U4.5 86.1%
12 79.6%
X2 78.6%
O1.5 73.9%
U3.5 71.2%
2 58.2%
O2.5 50.9%
NG 50.8%
GG 49.2%
U2.5 49.1%
1X 41.8%
O3.5 28.8%
U1.5 26.1%
Multigoal
MG 1-5 89.0%
MG 1-4 80.9%
MG 2-6 71.8%
MG 0-3 71.2%
MG 2-5 68.1%
MG 1-3 66.0%
Combo
12+NG 45.6%
X2+GG 39.7%
X2+NG 38.9%
2+O2.5 34.6%
12+GG 34.0%
2+NG 33.7%
1X+GG 24.7%
2+GG 24.5%
2+O+GG 24.5%
2+U2.5 23.6%
2+U+NG 23.6%
1X+NG 17.1%
Reliable data
Vukovar 1991 (Home)
ELO Rating
1,777
Form
-1
Current Streaks
Winless
5
Scoring
2
BTTS Yes
2
Gorica (Away)
ELO Rating
1,863
Form
0
Current Streaks
Winless
4
Under 2.5
3
Recent Form (Last 5)
Vukovar 1991
S
S
P
S
V
4/15 pt
Gorica
P
V
P
S
S
5/15 pt
Vukovar 1991 (H)
Season Statistics
(A) Gorica
1.33
Avg Goals Scored
1
1.8
Avg Goals Conceded
1.29
53%
% Over 2.5
41%
67%
% BTTS
53%
13%
% Clean Sheets
18%
15
Matches
17
Goal Distribution by Minutes
Vukovar 1991 (H)
1-15'
1
16-30'
1
31-45'
3
46-60'
6
61-75'
5
76-90'
4
Scored (20)
Gorica (A)
1-15'
0
16-30'
4
31-45'
5
46-60'
3
61-75'
1
76-90'
3
Scored (16)

Odds

Result (1X2)
12.81
X3.22
22.42
Under / Over 2.5
Over-
Under-
BTTS
Yes (GG)-
No (NG)-
* Le quote sono soggette a variazione.

Info

  • League HNL
  • Season 2025/2026
  • Matchday 31
  • Date 22/04/2026