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Akhmat Grozny vs Baltika Prediction: Odds & Analysis

Prediction and odds for the Premier League Russia match between Akhmat Grozny and Baltika. Statistical analysis with Poisson model probabilities, recent form, ELO rating and head-to-head.

Akhmat Grozny currently sits in 9 place in the Premier League Russia standings, while Baltika is in 4 position. At home this season, Akhmat Grozny has played 12 matches recording 7 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses, averaging 1.3 goals scored per game. Away from home, Baltika has 4 wins, 6 draws and 2 losses in 12 matches, scoring an average of 1.3 goals per game. Bookmaker odds for this match: 2.55 for a Akhmat Grozny win, 3.41 for the draw, and 3.04 for a Baltika victory.

Premier League Russia
Thursday, 23 April 2026 • 19:45
Predictions
xG: 0.59 - 1.01
MG 1-3 NG 12
Base
U4.5 97.6%
U3.5 92.1%
O0.5 81.4%
U2.5 78.3%
X2 77.5%
NG 73.2%
12 69.0%
U1.5 54.0%
1X 53.4%
2 46.6%
O1.5 46.0%
X 31.0%
GG 26.8%
1 22.5%
Multigoal
MG 0-3 92.1%
MG 1-5 80.8%
MG 1-4 79.0%
MG 0-2 78.3%
MG 1-3 73.5%
MG 1-2 59.7%
Combo
X2+NG 55.5%
12+NG 54.6%
2+NG 37.0%
1X+NG 36.3%
2+U2.5 32.4%
2+U+NG 32.4%
X+U2.5 29.0%
X2+GG 22.0%
X+NG 18.6%
X+U+NG 18.6%
1+NG 17.7%
1X+GG 17.1%
Reliable data
Akhmat Grozny (Home)
ELO Rating
0
Form
0
Current Streaks
Under 2.5
4
BTTS No
4
Baltika (Away)
ELO Rating
0
Form
-2
Current Streaks
Winless
5
Unbeaten
2
Scoring
2
BTTS Yes
2
Recent Form (Last 5)
Akhmat Grozny
P
P
V
S
P
6/15 pt
Baltika
P
V
V
P
P
9/15 pt
Akhmat Grozny (H)
Season Statistics
(A) Baltika
1.33
Avg Goals Scored
1.25
1
Avg Goals Conceded
0.58
42%
% Over 2.5
25%
42%
% BTTS
33%
42%
% Clean Sheets
50%
12
Matches
12
Goal Distribution by Minutes
Akhmat Grozny (H)
1-15'
3
16-30'
1
31-45'
2
46-60'
7
61-75'
3
76-90'
4
Scored (20)
Baltika (A)
1-15'
4
16-30'
2
31-45'
2
46-60'
2
61-75'
1
76-90'
4
Scored (15)

Odds

Result (1X2)
12.55
X3.41
23.04
Under / Over 2.5
Over2.51
Under1.62
BTTS
Yes (GG)2.00
No (NG)1.74
* Le quote sono soggette a variazione.

Info

  • League Premier League Russia
  • Season 2025/2026
  • Matchday 26
  • Date 23/04/2026