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Al Fateh vs Al Khaleej Prediction: Odds & Analysis

Prediction and odds for the Saudi Pro League match between Al Fateh and Al Khaleej. Statistical analysis with Poisson model probabilities, recent form, ELO rating and head-to-head.

At home this season, Al Fateh has played 14 matches recording 5 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses, averaging 1.4 goals scored per game. Away from home, Al Khaleej has 3 wins, 5 draws and 6 losses in 14 matches, scoring an average of 1.6 goals per game. Bookmaker odds for this match: 2.39 for a Al Fateh win, 3.58 for the draw, and 2.69 for a Al Khaleej victory.

Saudi Pro League
Friday, 24 April 2026 • 18:45
Predictions
xG: 1.30 - 2.53
O2.5 MG 2-5 GG
Base
O0.5 98.8%
O1.5 88.6%
12 84.0%
X2 81.0%
O2.5 73.6%
U4.5 66.1%
GG 66.1%
2 65.0%
O3.5 53.3%
U3.5 46.7%
1X 35.0%
NG 33.9%
O4.5 33.9%
U2.5 26.4%
Multigoal
MG 1-5 79.8%
MG 2-6 79.2%
MG 2-5 69.7%
MG 1-4 64.9%
MG 3-6 64.2%
MG 2-4 54.8%
Combo
X2+GG 53.8%
2+O2.5 51.7%
12+GG 51.3%
2+GG 39.1%
2+O+GG 39.1%
12+NG 32.7%
X2+NG 27.2%
1X+GG 27.0%
2+NG 26.0%
X+GG 14.7%
1+O2.5 13.4%
2+U2.5 13.3%
Reliable data
Al Fateh (Home)
ELO Rating
1,866
Form
-11
Current Streaks
Winless
2
Under 2.5
2
Al Khaleej (Away)
ELO Rating
1,921
Form
-1
Current Streaks
Winless
6
Recent Form (Last 5)
Al Fateh
V
P
S
S
S
4/15 pt
Al Khaleej
S
S
V
S
P
4/15 pt
Al Fateh (H)
Season Statistics
(A) Al Khaleej
1.43
Avg Goals Scored
1.64
1.71
Avg Goals Conceded
1.93
57%
% Over 2.5
71%
71%
% BTTS
93%
7%
% Clean Sheets
0%
14
Matches
14
Goal Distribution by Minutes
Al Fateh (H)
1-15'
2
16-30'
0
31-45'
4
46-60'
4
61-75'
3
76-90'
7
Scored (20)
Al Khaleej (A)
1-15'
2
16-30'
4
31-45'
2
46-60'
3
61-75'
4
76-90'
8
Scored (23)

Odds

Result (1X2)
12.39
X3.58
22.69
Under / Over 2.5
Over-
Under-
BTTS
Yes (GG)-
No (NG)-
* Le quote sono soggette a variazione.

Info

  • League Saudi Pro League
  • Season 2025/2026
  • Matchday 29
  • Date 24/04/2026