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Emmen vs De Graafschap Prediction: Odds & Analysis

Prediction and odds for the Eerste Divisie match between Emmen and De Graafschap. Statistical analysis with Poisson model probabilities, recent form, ELO rating and head-to-head.

At home this season, Emmen has played 19 matches recording 8 wins, 5 draws and 6 losses, averaging 1.9 goals scored per game. Away from home, De Graafschap has 8 wins, 6 draws and 4 losses in 18 matches, scoring an average of 1.9 goals per game. Emmen comes into this match on a run of 3 consecutive scoring matches.

Eerste Divisie
Friday, 24 April 2026 • 21:00
Predictions
xG: 1.70 - 2.02
O2.5 MG 2-5 GG
Base
O0.5 98.7%
O1.5 87.5%
12 80.9%
O2.5 71.8%
GG 69.8%
U4.5 68.4%
X2 65.8%
1X 53.3%
O3.5 51.0%
U3.5 49.0%
2 46.7%
1 34.2%
O4.5 31.6%
NG 30.2%
Multigoal
MG 1-5 81.4%
MG 2-6 79.1%
MG 2-5 70.2%
MG 1-4 67.0%
MG 3-6 63.4%
MG 2-4 55.8%
Combo
12+GG 52.0%
X2+GG 47.6%
1X+GG 40.0%
2+O2.5 35.8%
2+GG 29.8%
2+O+GG 29.8%
12+NG 28.9%
1+O2.5 25.4%
1+GG 22.2%
1+O+GG 22.2%
X2+NG 18.2%
X+GG 17.8%
Reliable data
Emmen (Home)
ELO Rating
0
Form
0
Current Streaks
Scoring
3
Over 2.5
3
BTTS Yes
3
De Graafschap (Away)
ELO Rating
0
Form
0
Current Streaks
Unbeaten
6
Scoring
5
Winless
2
Over 2.5
2
BTTS Yes
2
Recent Form (Last 5)
Emmen
S
S
P
V
S
4/15 pt
De Graafschap
S
V
P
V
P
8/15 pt
Emmen (H)
Season Statistics
(A) De Graafschap
1.89
Avg Goals Scored
1.89
1.58
Avg Goals Conceded
1.56
63%
% Over 2.5
67%
63%
% BTTS
72%
26%
% Clean Sheets
11%
19
Matches
18
Goal Distribution by Minutes
Emmen (H)
1-15'
6
16-30'
4
31-45'
5
46-60'
4
61-75'
3
76-90'
7
Scored (29)
De Graafschap (A)
1-15'
5
16-30'
4
31-45'
6
46-60'
1
61-75'
3
76-90'
11
Scored (30)

Info

  • League Eerste Divisie
  • Season 2025/2026
  • Matchday 38
  • Date 24/04/2026