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Fulham vs Aston Villa Prediction: Odds & Analysis

Prediction and odds for the Premier League match between Fulham and Aston Villa. Statistical analysis with Poisson model probabilities, recent form, ELO rating and head-to-head.

At home this season, Fulham has played 16 matches recording 9 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses, averaging 1.7 goals scored per game. Away from home, Aston Villa has 6 wins, 5 draws and 5 losses in 16 matches, scoring an average of 1.3 goals per game. Bookmaker odds for this match: 2.77 for a Fulham win, 3.74 for the draw, and 2.58 for a Aston Villa victory.

Premier League
Saturday, 25 April 2026 • 14:30
Predictions
xG: 1.82 - 1.06
MG 2-6 U3.5 1
Base
O0.5 95.8%
U4.5 83.5%
12 79.9%
O1.5 76.8%
1X 76.8%
U3.5 67.4%
1 56.7%
O2.5 55.0%
GG 53.3%
NG 46.7%
U2.5 45.0%
X2 43.3%
O3.5 32.6%
2 23.2%
Multigoal
MG 1-5 88.6%
MG 1-4 79.3%
MG 2-6 74.0%
MG 2-5 69.6%
MG 0-3 67.4%
MG 1-3 63.2%
Combo
12+NG 42.5%
1X+GG 42.1%
12+GG 37.4%
1+O2.5 35.7%
1X+NG 34.7%
1+NG 30.5%
X2+GG 27.2%
1+GG 26.2%
1+O+GG 26.2%
1+U2.5 20.9%
1+U+NG 20.9%
X2+NG 16.2%
Reliable data
Fulham (Home)
ELO Rating
1,708
Form
0
Current Streaks
No significant active streaks (≥3)
Aston Villa (Away)
ELO Rating
0
Form
-10
Current Streaks
Winless
4
Scoring
2
BTTS Yes
2
Recent Form (Last 5)
Fulham
S
P
V
S
P
5/15 pt
Aston Villa
S
S
S
V
P
4/15 pt
Fulham (H)
Season Statistics
(A) Aston Villa
1.69
Avg Goals Scored
1.25
1.19
Avg Goals Conceded
1.44
63%
% Over 2.5
44%
63%
% BTTS
63%
25%
% Clean Sheets
19%
16
Matches
16
Goal Distribution by Minutes
Fulham (H)
1-15'
2
16-30'
2
31-45'
6
46-60'
3
61-75'
6
76-90'
7
Scored (26)
Aston Villa (A)
1-15'
1
16-30'
3
31-45'
3
46-60'
3
61-75'
4
76-90'
6
Scored (20)

Odds

Result (1X2)
12.77
X3.74
22.58
Under / Over 2.5
Over1.81
Under2.17
BTTS
Yes (GG)1.58
No (NG)2.26
* Le quote sono soggette a variazione.

Info

  • League Premier League
  • Season 2025/2026
  • Matchday 34
  • Date 25/04/2026