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Norwich vs Swansea Prediction: Odds & Analysis

Prediction and odds for the Championship match between Norwich and Swansea. Statistical analysis with Poisson model probabilities, recent form, ELO rating and head-to-head.

At home this season, Norwich has played 21 matches recording 8 wins, 2 draws and 11 losses, averaging 1.1 goals scored per game. Away from home, Swansea has 6 wins, 3 draws and 12 losses in 21 matches, scoring an average of 1.0 goals per game. Bookmaker odds for this match: 1.81 for a Norwich win, 3.70 for the draw, and 3.99 for a Swansea victory.

Championship
Saturday, 25 April 2026 • 17:00
Predictions
xG: 1.06 - 1.10
12 MG 1-3 U2.5
Base
U4.5 93.1%
O0.5 90.2%
U3.5 82.7%
12 74.1%
X2 64.1%
U2.5 63.3%
O1.5 61.9%
1X 61.8%
NG 58.1%
GG 41.9%
2 38.2%
U1.5 38.1%
O2.5 36.7%
1 35.9%
Multigoal
MG 1-5 87.9%
MG 1-4 83.4%
MG 0-3 82.7%
MG 1-3 72.9%
MG 0-2 63.3%
MG 2-6 61.2%
Combo
12+NG 48.3%
X2+NG 34.7%
1X+NG 33.1%
X2+GG 29.4%
1X+GG 28.7%
12+GG 25.7%
2+NG 24.9%
1+NG 23.4%
2+U2.5 21.5%
2+U+NG 21.5%
X+U2.5 21.4%
1+U2.5 20.4%
Reliable data
Norwich (Home)
ELO Rating
0
Form
1
Current Streaks
Under 2.5
3
Winless
2
Swansea (Away)
ELO Rating
0
Form
3
Current Streaks
Unbeaten
2
Scoring
2
Recent Form (Last 5)
Norwich
V
P
V
S
V
10/15 pt
Swansea
S
P
P
V
S
5/15 pt
Norwich (H)
Season Statistics
(A) Swansea
1.14
Avg Goals Scored
0.95
1.24
Avg Goals Conceded
1.43
43%
% Over 2.5
48%
52%
% BTTS
43%
19%
% Clean Sheets
24%
21
Matches
21
Goal Distribution by Minutes
Norwich (H)
1-15'
1
16-30'
3
31-45'
5
46-60'
2
61-75'
7
76-90'
2
Scored (20)
Swansea (A)
1-15'
3
16-30'
2
31-45'
1
46-60'
4
61-75'
1
76-90'
4
Scored (15)

Odds

Result (1X2)
11.81
X3.70
23.99
Under / Over 2.5
Over-
Under-
BTTS
Yes (GG)1.81
No (NG)3.70
* Le quote sono soggette a variazione.

Info

  • League Championship
  • Season 2025/2026
  • Matchday 45
  • Date 25/04/2026