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Polonia Warszawa vs Chrobry Glogow Prediction: Odds & Analysis

Prediction and odds for the I Liga match between Polonia Warszawa and Chrobry Glogow. Statistical analysis with Poisson model probabilities, recent form, ELO rating and head-to-head.

At home this season, Polonia Warszawa has played 14 matches recording 5 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses, averaging 1.3 goals scored per game. Away from home, Chrobry Glogow has 7 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses in 14 matches, scoring an average of 1.3 goals per game. Bookmaker odds for this match: 1.77 for a Polonia Warszawa win, 3.70 for the draw, and 4.19 for a Chrobry Glogow victory. Polonia Warszawa comes into this match on a run of 4 consecutive winless matches.

Predictions
xG: 0.62 - 1.87
O1.5 MG 1-3 2
Base
O0.5 93.0%
U4.5 89.2%
X2 87.2%
12 81.5%
U3.5 76.0%
O1.5 69.8%
2 68.7%
NG 62.2%
U2.5 54.6%
O2.5 45.4%
GG 37.8%
1X 31.3%
U1.5 30.2%
O3.5 24.0%
Multigoal
MG 1-5 88.8%
MG 1-4 82.2%
MG 0-3 76.0%
MG 1-3 68.9%
MG 2-6 68.4%
MG 2-5 65.7%
Combo
12+NG 55.2%
X2+NG 53.9%
2+NG 46.9%
2+O2.5 37.4%
X2+GG 33.4%
2+U2.5 31.3%
2+U+NG 31.3%
12+GG 26.3%
2+GG 21.9%
2+O+GG 21.9%
1X+GG 15.9%
2+O+NG 15.6%
Reliable data
Polonia Warszawa (Home)
ELO Rating
1,758
Form
-14
Current Streaks
Winless
4
Chrobry Glogow (Away)
ELO Rating
1,781
Form
-4
Current Streaks
No significant active streaks (≥3)
Recent Form (Last 5)
Polonia Warszawa
S
P
S
S
V
4/15 pt
Chrobry Glogow
S
V
P
S
V
7/15 pt
Polonia Warszawa (H)
Season Statistics
(A) Chrobry Glogow
1.29
Avg Goals Scored
1.29
1.64
Avg Goals Conceded
0.93
57%
% Over 2.5
43%
57%
% BTTS
50%
29%
% Clean Sheets
36%
14
Matches
14
Goal Distribution by Minutes
Polonia Warszawa (H)
1-15'
1
16-30'
2
31-45'
2
46-60'
2
61-75'
6
76-90'
5
Scored (18)
Chrobry Glogow (A)
1-15'
1
16-30'
3
31-45'
3
46-60'
2
61-75'
2
76-90'
9
Scored (20)

Odds

Result (1X2)
11.77
X3.70
24.19
Under / Over 2.5
Over-
Under-
BTTS
Yes (GG)1.77
No (NG)3.70
* Le quote sono soggette a variazione.

Info

  • League I Liga
  • Season 2025/2026
  • Matchday 30
  • Date 25/04/2026