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Ruch Chorzow vs Grodzisk M. Prediction: Odds & Analysis

Prediction and odds for the I Liga match between Ruch Chorzow and Grodzisk M.. Statistical analysis with Poisson model probabilities, recent form, ELO rating and head-to-head.

Ruch Chorzow currently sits in 6 place in the I Liga standings, while Grodzisk M. is in 9 position. At home this season, Ruch Chorzow has played 15 matches recording 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses, averaging 1.7 goals scored per game. Away from home, Grodzisk M. has 4 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses in 13 matches, scoring an average of 1.1 goals per game. Bookmaker odds for this match: 1.68 for a Ruch Chorzow win, 3.84 for the draw, and 4.11 for a Grodzisk M. victory.

Predictions
xG: 2.36 - 0.76
1 MG 2-5 U3.5
Base
O0.5 96.6%
1X 88.8%
12 85.4%
O1.5 80.7%
U4.5 79.5%
1 74.3%
U3.5 62.1%
O2.5 60.3%
NG 53.0%
GG 47.0%
U2.5 39.7%
O3.5 37.9%
X2 25.7%
O4.5 20.5%
Multigoal
MG 1-5 87.0%
MG 2-6 76.8%
MG 1-4 76.1%
MG 2-5 71.1%
MG 0-3 62.1%
MG 2-4 60.3%
Combo
1+O2.5 50.4%
12+NG 49.6%
1X+NG 47.0%
1+NG 43.6%
1X+GG 41.8%
12+GG 35.8%
1+GG 30.7%
1+O+GG 30.7%
1+U2.5 23.8%
1+U+NG 23.8%
1+O+NG 19.8%
X2+GG 16.3%
Reliable data
Ruch Chorzow (Home)
ELO Rating
1,734
Form
-8
Current Streaks
Winless
2
Under 2.5
2
Grodzisk M. (Away)
ELO Rating
1,660
Form
-28
Current Streaks
Winless
5
Failed to score
3
BTTS No
3
Over 2.5
2
Recent Form (Last 5)
Ruch Chorzow
V
P
P
S
P
6/15 pt
Grodzisk M.
S
V
S
S
S
3/15 pt
Ruch Chorzow (H)
Season Statistics
(A) Grodzisk M.
1.73
Avg Goals Scored
1.08
1.27
Avg Goals Conceded
1.69
67%
% Over 2.5
69%
73%
% BTTS
62%
13%
% Clean Sheets
8%
15
Matches
13
Goal Distribution by Minutes
Ruch Chorzow (H)
1-15'
5
16-30'
4
31-45'
6
46-60'
2
61-75'
6
76-90'
3
Scored (26)
Grodzisk M. (A)
1-15'
3
16-30'
3
31-45'
4
46-60'
1
61-75'
1
76-90'
2
Scored (14)

Odds

Result (1X2)
11.68
X3.84
24.11
Under / Over 2.5
Over1.61
Under2.17
BTTS
Yes (GG)1.60
No (NG)2.18
* Le quote sono soggette a variazione.

Info

  • League I Liga
  • Season 2025/2026
  • Matchday 30
  • Date 27/04/2026