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Napoli vs Cremonese Prediction: Odds & Analysis

Prediction and odds for the Serie A match between Napoli and Cremonese. Statistical analysis with Poisson model probabilities, recent form, ELO rating and head-to-head.

At home this season, Napoli has played 16 matches recording 11 wins, 4 draws and 1 losses, averaging 1.6 goals scored per game. Away from home, Cremonese has 4 wins, 3 draws and 10 losses in 17 matches, scoring an average of 0.8 goals per game. Bookmaker odds for this match: 1.39 for a Napoli win, 5.11 for the draw, and 9.80 for a Cremonese victory.

Serie A
Friday, 24 April 2026 • 21:45
Predictions
xG: 1.55 - 0.70
MG 1-3 O1.5 NG
Base
U4.5 92.1%
O0.5 91.0%
1X 81.7%
U3.5 80.8%
12 77.6%
O1.5 64.5%
NG 61.6%
U2.5 60.7%
1 59.3%
X2 40.7%
O2.5 39.3%
GG 38.4%
U1.5 35.5%
X 22.4%
Multigoal
MG 1-5 88.3%
MG 1-4 83.1%
MG 0-3 80.8%
MG 1-3 71.8%
MG 2-6 63.6%
MG 2-5 61.7%
Combo
12+NG 52.7%
1X+NG 49.5%
1+NG 40.5%
1X+GG 32.2%
1+U2.5 30.4%
1+U+NG 30.4%
1+O2.5 28.9%
12+GG 24.9%
X2+NG 21.1%
X2+GG 19.6%
X+U2.5 18.9%
1+GG 18.8%
Reliable data
Napoli (Home)
ELO Rating
1,918
Form
-7
Current Streaks
Under 2.5
2
BTTS No
2
Cremonese (Away)
ELO Rating
0
Form
-2
Current Streaks
Under 2.5
2
BTTS No
2
Recent Form (Last 5)
Napoli
V
V
V
P
S
10/15 pt
Cremonese
S
S
V
S
S
3/15 pt
Napoli (H)
Season Statistics
(A) Cremonese
1.63
Avg Goals Scored
0.76
0.94
Avg Goals Conceded
1.41
63%
% Over 2.5
41%
63%
% BTTS
35%
31%
% Clean Sheets
24%
16
Matches
17
Goal Distribution by Minutes
Napoli (H)
1-15'
4
16-30'
1
31-45'
5
46-60'
5
61-75'
5
76-90'
5
Scored (25)
Cremonese (A)
1-15'
1
16-30'
0
31-45'
2
46-60'
4
61-75'
2
76-90'
2
Scored (11)

Odds

Result (1X2)
11.39
X5.11
29.80
Under / Over 2.5
Over2.01
Under1.94
BTTS
Yes (GG)2.32
No (NG)1.55
* Le quote sono soggette a variazione.

Info

  • League Serie A
  • Season 2025/2026
  • Matchday 34
  • Date 24/04/2026