Malaga vs Castellon Prediction: Odds & Analysis
Prediction and odds for the La Liga 2 match between Malaga and Castellon. Statistical analysis with Poisson model probabilities, recent form, ELO rating and head-to-head.
At home this season, Malaga has played 18 matches recording 11 wins, 6 draws and 1 losses, averaging 2.1 goals scored per game. Away from home, Castellon has 5 wins, 7 draws and 6 losses in 18 matches, scoring an average of 1.3 goals per game. Bookmaker odds for this match: 2.58 for a Malaga win, 3.53 for the draw, and 2.70 for a Castellon victory. Malaga comes into this match on a run of 14 consecutive unbeaten matches.
La Liga 2
Saturday, 25 April 2026 • 22:00
Predictions
xG:
1.61
-
1.31
MG 2-6
1X
U3.5
Base
O0.5
96.1%
U4.5
82.9%
12
78.6%
O1.5
77.3%
1X
67.2%
U3.5
66.6%
GG
56.9%
O2.5
55.8%
X2
54.2%
1
45.8%
U2.5
44.2%
NG
43.1%
O3.5
33.4%
2
32.8%
Multigoal
MG 1-5
88.5%
MG 1-4
79.0%
MG 2-6
74.4%
MG 2-5
69.8%
MG 0-3
66.6%
MG 1-3
62.6%
Combo
1X+GG
40.3%
12+GG
39.4%
12+NG
39.1%
X2+GG
34.1%
1+O2.5
28.7%
1X+NG
26.9%
1+NG
23.0%
1+GG
22.8%
1+O+GG
22.8%
X2+NG
20.1%
2+O2.5
19.6%
X+GG
17.5%
Reliable data
Malaga (Home)
ELO Rating
0
Form
2
Current Streaks
Unbeaten
14
Under 2.5
2
BTTS No
2
Clean Sheets
2
Castellon (Away)
ELO Rating
1,602
Form
12
Current Streaks
Scoring
6
Winless
5
BTTS Yes
5
Unbeaten
2
Recent Form (Last 5)
Malaga
V
P
P
P
V
9/15 pt
Castellon
P
V
V
P
V
11/15 pt
Malaga (H)
Season Statistics
(A)
Castellon
2.06
Avg Goals Scored
1.28
1.06
Avg Goals Conceded
1.28
61%
% Over 2.5
50%
61%
% BTTS
56%
33%
% Clean Sheets
33%
18
Matches
18
Goal Distribution by Minutes
Malaga (H)
1-15'
3
16-30'
2
31-45'
10
46-60'
7
61-75'
2
76-90'
9
Scored (33)
Castellon (A)
1-15'
2
16-30'
4
31-45'
5
46-60'
2
61-75'
1
76-90'
4
Scored (18)
Odds
Result (1X2)
12.58
X3.53
22.70
Under / Over 2.5
Over-
Under-
BTTS
Yes (GG)-
No (NG)-
* Le quote sono soggette a variazione.
Info
- League La Liga 2
- Season 2025/2026
- Matchday 37
- Date 25/04/2026