Al Nassr vs Al Ahli SC Prediction: Odds & Analysis
Prediction and odds for the Saudi Pro League match between Al Nassr and Al Ahli SC. Statistical analysis with Poisson model probabilities, recent form, ELO rating and head-to-head.
At home this season, Al Nassr has played 14 matches recording 13 wins, 0 draws and 1 losses, averaging 2.8 goals scored per game. Away from home, Al Ahli SC has 9 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses in 14 matches, scoring an average of 1.4 goals per game. Al Nassr comes into this match on a run of 14 consecutive scoring matches.
Saudi Pro League
Wednesday, 29 April 2026 • 21:00
Predictions
xG:
0.99
-
0.72
MG 1-3
1X
NG
Base
U4.5
97.0%
U3.5
90.5%
O0.5
83.6%
U2.5
75.4%
1X
72.6%
12
69.9%
NG
69.4%
X2
57.5%
U1.5
50.7%
O1.5
49.3%
1
42.5%
GG
30.6%
X
30.1%
2
27.4%
Multigoal
MG 0-3
90.5%
MG 1-5
82.8%
MG 1-4
80.6%
MG 0-2
75.4%
MG 1-3
74.1%
MG 1-2
59.0%
Combo
12+NG
53.0%
1X+NG
48.7%
X2+NG
37.1%
1+NG
32.3%
1+U2.5
28.5%
1+U+NG
28.5%
X+U2.5
27.6%
1X+GG
23.9%
2+NG
20.7%
X2+GG
20.4%
2+U2.5
19.4%
2+U+NG
19.4%
Reliable data
Al Nassr (Home)
ELO Rating
0
Form
0
Current Streaks
Scoring
14
Consecutive wins
7
Unbeaten
7
Al Ahli SC (Away)
ELO Rating
0
Form
0
Current Streaks
Scoring
5
Winless
2
BTTS Yes
2
Recent Form (Last 5)
Al Nassr
V
V
V
V
V
15/15 pt
Al Ahli SC
V
V
S
V
P
10/15 pt
Al Nassr (H)
Season Statistics
(A)
Al Ahli SC
2.79
Avg Goals Scored
1.43
0.71
Avg Goals Conceded
0.57
64%
% Over 2.5
29%
50%
% BTTS
29%
50%
% Clean Sheets
71%
14
Matches
14
Goal Distribution by Minutes
Al Nassr (H)
1-15'
5
16-30'
2
31-45'
10
46-60'
4
61-75'
3
76-90'
15
Scored (39)
Al Ahli SC (A)
1-15'
1
16-30'
4
31-45'
5
46-60'
3
61-75'
5
76-90'
2
Scored (20)
Info
- League Saudi Pro League
- Season 2025/2026
- Matchday 30
- Date 29/04/2026