Leverkusen vs Leipzig Prediction: Odds & Analysis
Prediction and odds for the Bundesliga match between Leverkusen and Leipzig. Statistical analysis with Poisson model probabilities, recent form, ELO rating and head-to-head.
At home this season, Leverkusen has played 15 matches recording 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses, averaging 2.2 goals scored per game. Away from home, Leipzig has 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses in 15 matches, scoring an average of 1.6 goals per game. Leverkusen comes into this match on a run of 15 consecutive scoring matches.
Bundesliga
Saturday, 02 May 2026 • 19:30
Predictions
xG:
1.40
-
1.40
MG 2-6
U3.5
X2
Base
O0.5
95.4%
U4.5
84.8%
12
77.8%
O1.5
75.3%
U3.5
69.3%
X2
61.2%
1X
61.0%
GG
55.1%
O2.5
53.0%
U2.5
47.0%
NG
44.9%
2
39.0%
1
38.8%
O3.5
30.7%
Multigoal
MG 1-5
89.0%
MG 1-4
80.3%
MG 2-6
72.9%
MG 0-3
69.3%
MG 2-5
68.8%
MG 1-3
64.7%
Combo
12+NG
40.3%
12+GG
37.5%
X2+GG
36.4%
1X+GG
36.4%
X2+NG
24.8%
1X+NG
24.6%
2+O2.5
22.9%
1+O2.5
22.8%
2+NG
20.2%
1+NG
20.1%
2+GG
18.8%
2+O+GG
18.8%
Reliable data
Leverkusen (Home)
ELO Rating
0
Form
1
Current Streaks
Scoring
15
BTTS Yes
4
Over 2.5
2
Leipzig (Away)
ELO Rating
1,917
Form
13
Current Streaks
Consecutive wins
2
Unbeaten
2
Scoring
2
Over 2.5
2
BTTS Yes
2
Recent Form (Last 5)
Leverkusen
P
P
V
V
S
8/15 pt
Leipzig
V
V
V
V
V
15/15 pt
Leverkusen (H)
Season Statistics
(A)
Leipzig
2.2
Avg Goals Scored
1.6
1.13
Avg Goals Conceded
1.27
53%
% Over 2.5
60%
60%
% BTTS
53%
40%
% Clean Sheets
33%
15
Matches
15
Goal Distribution by Minutes
Leverkusen (H)
1-15'
7
16-30'
5
31-45'
5
46-60'
5
61-75'
6
76-90'
5
Scored (33)
Leipzig (A)
1-15'
5
16-30'
4
31-45'
3
46-60'
5
61-75'
6
76-90'
1
Scored (24)
Info
- League Bundesliga
- Season 2025/2026
- Matchday 32
- Date 02/05/2026