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Istra 1961 vs Slaven Prediction: Odds & Analysis

Prediction and odds for the HNL match between Istra 1961 and Slaven. Statistical analysis with Poisson model probabilities, recent form, ELO rating and head-to-head.

At home this season, Istra 1961 has played 17 matches recording 5 wins, 5 draws and 7 losses, averaging 0.9 goals scored per game. Away from home, Slaven has 2 wins, 6 draws and 8 losses in 16 matches, scoring an average of 1.2 goals per game. Istra 1961 comes into this match on a run of 3 consecutive winless matches.

HNL
Monday, 04 May 2026 • 19:00
Predictions
xG: 1.26 - 1.30
U3.5 MG 0-3 X2
Base
O0.5 93.9%
U4.5 88.3%
12 76.7%
U3.5 74.4%
O1.5 70.9%
X2 62.6%
1X 60.7%
U2.5 52.8%
GG 50.5%
NG 49.5%
O2.5 47.2%
2 39.3%
1 37.4%
U1.5 29.1%
Multigoal
MG 1-5 89.3%
MG 1-4 82.2%
MG 0-3 74.4%
MG 2-6 69.3%
MG 1-3 68.4%
MG 2-5 66.2%
Combo
12+NG 43.4%
X2+GG 34.2%
1X+GG 33.5%
12+GG 33.2%
X2+NG 28.3%
1X+NG 27.2%
2+NG 22.3%
1+NG 21.2%
2+O2.5 21.0%
1+O2.5 19.9%
2+U2.5 18.2%
2+U+NG 18.2%
Reliable data
Istra 1961 (Home)
ELO Rating
0
Form
0
Current Streaks
Winless
3
Slaven (Away)
ELO Rating
0
Form
0
Current Streaks
Winless
10
Scoring
5
Over 2.5
5
BTTS Yes
5
Recent Form (Last 5)
Istra 1961
V
S
S
S
S
3/15 pt
Slaven
P
S
S
P
S
2/15 pt
Istra 1961 (H)
Season Statistics
(A) Slaven
0.94
Avg Goals Scored
1.19
1.35
Avg Goals Conceded
1.94
47%
% Over 2.5
69%
59%
% BTTS
75%
18%
% Clean Sheets
6%
17
Matches
16
Goal Distribution by Minutes
Istra 1961 (H)
1-15'
4
16-30'
1
31-45'
1
46-60'
0
61-75'
2
76-90'
5
Scored (13)
Slaven (A)
1-15'
2
16-30'
2
31-45'
7
46-60'
3
61-75'
3
76-90'
2
Scored (19)

Info

  • League HNL
  • Season 2025/2026
  • Matchday 33
  • Date 04/05/2026