Lok Zagreb vs Rijeka Prediction: Odds & Analysis
Prediction and odds for the HNL match between Lok Zagreb and Rijeka. Statistical analysis with Poisson model probabilities, recent form, ELO rating and head-to-head.
At home this season, Lok Zagreb has played 16 matches recording 8 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses, averaging 1.4 goals scored per game. Away from home, Rijeka has 4 wins, 6 draws and 7 losses in 17 matches, scoring an average of 1.0 goals per game.
HNL
Sunday, 03 May 2026 • 17:00
Predictions
xG:
1.23
-
1.06
MG 1-3
1X
O1.5
Base
U4.5
91.7%
O0.5
91.6%
U3.5
80.1%
12
75.1%
1X
66.5%
O1.5
65.0%
U2.5
59.9%
X2
58.3%
NG
55.4%
GG
44.6%
1
41.7%
O2.5
40.1%
U1.5
35.0%
2
33.5%
Multigoal
MG 1-5
88.6%
MG 1-4
83.3%
MG 0-3
80.1%
MG 1-3
71.7%
MG 2-6
64.1%
MG 2-5
62.0%
Combo
12+NG
47.0%
1X+NG
34.6%
1X+GG
32.0%
X2+NG
29.3%
X2+GG
29.1%
12+GG
28.1%
1+NG
26.2%
1+U2.5
21.8%
1+U+NG
21.8%
2+NG
20.9%
X+U2.5
19.9%
1+O2.5
19.9%
Reliable data
Lok Zagreb (Home)
ELO Rating
0
Form
0
Current Streaks
Consecutive wins
2
Unbeaten
2
Scoring
2
Rijeka (Away)
ELO Rating
0
Form
0
Current Streaks
Winless
2
Recent Form (Last 5)
Lok Zagreb
S
P
V
V
V
10/15 pt
Rijeka
S
V
S
P
S
4/15 pt
Lok Zagreb (H)
Season Statistics
(A)
Rijeka
1.44
Avg Goals Scored
1
1.31
Avg Goals Conceded
1.24
56%
% Over 2.5
41%
69%
% BTTS
47%
25%
% Clean Sheets
24%
16
Matches
17
Goal Distribution by Minutes
Lok Zagreb (H)
1-15'
4
16-30'
4
31-45'
2
46-60'
4
61-75'
3
76-90'
5
Scored (22)
Rijeka (A)
1-15'
4
16-30'
2
31-45'
2
46-60'
3
61-75'
3
76-90'
1
Scored (15)
Info
- League HNL
- Season 2025/2026
- Matchday 33
- Date 03/05/2026