Celta Vigo vs Elche Prediction: Odds & Analysis
Prediction and odds for the La Liga match between Celta Vigo and Elche. Statistical analysis with Poisson model probabilities, recent form, ELO rating and head-to-head.
Celta Vigo currently sits in 6 place in the La Liga standings, while Elche is in 14 position. At home this season, Celta Vigo has played 16 matches recording 4 wins, 5 draws and 7 losses, averaging 1.4 goals scored per game. Away from home, Elche has 1 wins, 4 draws and 11 losses in 16 matches, scoring an average of 1.0 goals per game. Bookmaker odds for this match: 1.83 for a Celta Vigo win, 3.94 for the draw, and 4.67 for a Elche victory. Celta Vigo comes into this match on a run of 3 consecutive winless matches.
La Liga
Sunday, 03 May 2026 • 15:00
Predictions
xG:
1.69
-
1.43
MG 2-5
1X
U3.5
Base
O0.5
97.0%
O1.5
80.5%
U4.5
79.4%
12
79.2%
1X
66.0%
U3.5
61.9%
GG
60.7%
O2.5
60.4%
X2
54.7%
1
45.3%
U2.5
39.6%
NG
39.3%
O3.5
38.1%
2
34.0%
Multigoal
MG 1-5
87.3%
MG 2-6
76.5%
MG 1-4
76.4%
MG 2-5
70.8%
MG 0-3
61.9%
MG 2-4
59.9%
Combo
12+GG
43.0%
1X+GG
42.1%
X2+GG
36.4%
12+NG
36.3%
1+O2.5
30.1%
1+GG
24.4%
1+O+GG
24.4%
1X+NG
23.9%
2+O2.5
21.8%
1+NG
20.9%
2+GG
18.6%
2+O+GG
18.6%
Reliable data
Celta Vigo (Home)
ELO Rating
1,695
Form
-15
Current Streaks
Winless
3
Over 2.5
3
Elche (Away)
ELO Rating
1,676
Form
15
Current Streaks
No significant active streaks (≥3)
Recent Form (Last 5)
Celta Vigo
S
V
S
S
S
3/15 pt
Elche
V
S
V
V
V
12/15 pt
Celta Vigo (H)
Season Statistics
(A)
Elche
1.44
Avg Goals Scored
1
1.5
Avg Goals Conceded
2
44%
% Over 2.5
63%
63%
% BTTS
81%
19%
% Clean Sheets
0%
16
Matches
16
Goal Distribution by Minutes
Celta Vigo (H)
1-15'
1
16-30'
4
31-45'
4
46-60'
6
61-75'
1
76-90'
7
Scored (23)
Elche (A)
1-15'
2
16-30'
2
31-45'
2
46-60'
1
61-75'
3
76-90'
5
Scored (15)
Odds
Result (1X2)
11.83
X3.94
24.67
Under / Over 2.5
Over1.79
Under2.19
BTTS
Yes (GG)1.65
No (NG)2.13
* Le quote sono soggette a variazione.
Info
- League La Liga
- Season 2025/2026
- Matchday 34
- Date 03/05/2026