AS Monaco vs Lille Prediction: Odds & Analysis
Prediction and odds for the Ligue 1 match between AS Monaco and Lille. Statistical analysis with Poisson model probabilities, recent form, ELO rating and head-to-head.
At home this season, AS Monaco has played 16 matches recording 10 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses, averaging 2.1 goals scored per game. Away from home, Lille has 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses in 15 matches, scoring an average of 1.7 goals per game. AS Monaco comes into this match on a run of 10 consecutive scoring matches.
Ligue 1
Sunday, 10 May 2026 • 22:00
Predictions
xG:
1.72
-
1.99
O2.5
MG 2-5
GG
Base
O0.5
98.7%
O1.5
87.4%
12
80.8%
O2.5
71.7%
GG
69.9%
U4.5
68.4%
X2
64.9%
1X
54.3%
O3.5
50.9%
U3.5
49.1%
2
45.7%
1
35.1%
O4.5
31.6%
NG
30.1%
Multigoal
MG 1-5
81.4%
MG 2-6
79.1%
MG 2-5
70.2%
MG 1-4
67.1%
MG 3-6
63.4%
MG 2-4
55.9%
Combo
12+GG
52.0%
X2+GG
47.1%
1X+GG
40.6%
2+O2.5
34.9%
2+GG
29.2%
2+O+GG
29.2%
12+NG
28.8%
1+O2.5
26.2%
1+GG
22.8%
1+O+GG
22.8%
X+GG
17.9%
X2+NG
17.8%
Reliable data
AS Monaco (Home)
ELO Rating
0
Form
0
Current Streaks
Scoring
10
Unbeaten
6
Over 2.5
2
BTTS Yes
2
Lille (Away)
ELO Rating
0
Form
0
Current Streaks
Unbeaten
5
Consecutive wins
4
Scoring
4
Over 2.5
3
Recent Form (Last 5)
AS Monaco
V
V
V
S
P
10/15 pt
Lille
V
V
V
V
P
13/15 pt
AS Monaco (H)
Season Statistics
(A)
Lille
2.06
Avg Goals Scored
1.73
1.38
Avg Goals Conceded
1.33
69%
% Over 2.5
53%
63%
% BTTS
33%
31%
% Clean Sheets
33%
16
Matches
15
Goal Distribution by Minutes
AS Monaco (H)
1-15'
2
16-30'
5
31-45'
4
46-60'
9
61-75'
3
76-90'
7
Scored (30)
Lille (A)
1-15'
4
16-30'
2
31-45'
1
46-60'
6
61-75'
1
76-90'
12
Scored (26)
Info
- League Ligue 1
- Season 2025/2026
- Matchday 33
- Date 10/05/2026