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Burgos CF vs Almeria Prediction: Odds & Analysis

Prediction and odds for the La Liga 2 match between Burgos CF and Almeria. Statistical analysis with Poisson model probabilities, recent form, ELO rating and head-to-head.

At home this season, Burgos CF has played 18 matches recording 9 wins, 6 draws and 3 losses, averaging 1.3 goals scored per game. Away from home, Almeria has 5 wins, 6 draws and 7 losses in 18 matches, scoring an average of 1.2 goals per game. Burgos CF comes into this match on a run of 9 consecutive unbeaten matches.

La Liga 2
Saturday, 09 May 2026 • 17:15
Predictions
xG: 1.32 - 0.65
12 MG 1-3 U2.5
Base
U4.5 95.0%
O0.5 87.6%
U3.5 86.3%
1X 80.1%
12 74.3%
U2.5 68.6%
NG 66.6%
O1.5 56.9%
1 54.4%
X2 45.6%
U1.5 43.1%
GG 33.4%
O2.5 31.4%
X 25.7%
Multigoal
MG 0-3 86.3%
MG 1-5 86.0%
MG 1-4 82.6%
MG 1-3 73.9%
MG 0-2 68.6%
MG 2-6 56.5%
Combo
12+NG 54.2%
1X+NG 52.3%
1+NG 39.8%
1+U2.5 32.1%
1+U+NG 32.1%
1X+GG 27.8%
X2+NG 26.8%
X+U2.5 22.8%
1+O2.5 22.3%
12+GG 20.2%
X2+GG 18.8%
1+GG 14.6%
Reliable data
Burgos CF (Home)
ELO Rating
0
Form
0
Current Streaks
Unbeaten
9
Scoring
9
Under 2.5
2
Almeria (Away)
ELO Rating
0
Form
0
Current Streaks
Winless
2
Recent Form (Last 5)
Burgos CF
V
P
V
V
S
10/15 pt
Almeria
V
S
V
S
V
9/15 pt
Burgos CF (H)
Season Statistics
(A) Almeria
1.28
Avg Goals Scored
1.22
0.61
Avg Goals Conceded
1.5
22%
% Over 2.5
50%
39%
% BTTS
61%
44%
% Clean Sheets
22%
18
Matches
18
Goal Distribution by Minutes
Burgos CF (H)
1-15'
0
16-30'
3
31-45'
4
46-60'
3
61-75'
3
76-90'
4
Scored (17)
Almeria (A)
1-15'
3
16-30'
2
31-45'
4
46-60'
1
61-75'
4
76-90'
4
Scored (18)

Info

  • League La Liga 2
  • Season 2025/2026
  • Matchday 39
  • Date 09/05/2026