Istra 1961 vs Rijeka Prediction: Odds & Analysis
Prediction and odds for the HNL match between Istra 1961 and Rijeka. Statistical analysis with Poisson model probabilities, recent form, ELO rating and head-to-head.
At home this season, Istra 1961 has played 17 matches recording 5 wins, 5 draws and 7 losses, averaging 0.9 goals scored per game. Away from home, Rijeka has 4 wins, 6 draws and 7 losses in 17 matches, scoring an average of 1.0 goals per game. Istra 1961 comes into this match on a run of 3 consecutive winless matches.
HNL
Sunday, 17 May 2026 • 19:45
Predictions
xG:
0.80
-
1.09
MG 1-3
12
U2.5
Base
U4.5
95.6%
U3.5
87.5%
O0.5
86.7%
12
72.1%
X2
71.7%
U2.5
70.4%
NG
64.9%
1X
56.2%
O1.5
54.9%
U1.5
45.1%
2
43.8%
GG
35.1%
O2.5
29.6%
1
28.3%
Multigoal
MG 0-3
87.5%
MG 1-5
85.4%
MG 1-4
82.3%
MG 1-3
74.2%
MG 0-2
70.4%
MG 1-2
57.1%
Combo
12+NG
51.7%
X2+NG
44.7%
1X+NG
33.5%
2+NG
31.5%
2+U2.5
27.1%
2+U+NG
27.1%
X2+GG
27.0%
X+U2.5
24.7%
1X+GG
22.8%
12+GG
20.4%
1+NG
20.2%
1+U2.5
18.6%
Reliable data
Istra 1961 (Home)
ELO Rating
0
Form
0
Current Streaks
Winless
3
Rijeka (Away)
ELO Rating
0
Form
0
Current Streaks
Winless
2
Recent Form (Last 5)
Istra 1961
V
S
S
S
S
3/15 pt
Rijeka
S
V
S
P
S
4/15 pt
Istra 1961 (H)
Season Statistics
(A)
Rijeka
0.94
Avg Goals Scored
1
1.35
Avg Goals Conceded
1.24
47%
% Over 2.5
41%
59%
% BTTS
47%
18%
% Clean Sheets
24%
17
Matches
17
Goal Distribution by Minutes
Istra 1961 (H)
1-15'
4
16-30'
1
31-45'
1
46-60'
0
61-75'
2
76-90'
5
Scored (13)
Rijeka (A)
1-15'
4
16-30'
2
31-45'
2
46-60'
3
61-75'
3
76-90'
1
Scored (15)
Info
- League HNL
- Season 2025/2026
- Matchday 35
- Date 17/05/2026