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Uniao Leiria vs Feirense Prediction: Odds & Analysis

Prediction and odds for the Liga Portugal 2 match between Uniao Leiria and Feirense. Statistical analysis with Poisson model probabilities, recent form, ELO rating and head-to-head.

Uniao Leiria currently sits in 5 place in the Liga Portugal 2 standings, while Feirense is in 8 position. At home this season, Uniao Leiria has played 16 matches recording 7 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses, averaging 1.6 goals scored per game. Away from home, Feirense has 6 wins, 3 draws and 7 losses in 16 matches, scoring an average of 1.1 goals per game. Bookmaker odds for this match: 1.74 for a Uniao Leiria win, 3.70 for the draw, and 4.38 for a Feirense victory.

Liga Portugal 2
Sunday, 17 May 2026 • 17:30
Predictions
xG: 1.88 - 1.40
MG 1-4 1X O2.5
Base
O0.5 97.5%
O1.5 82.6%
12 80.1%
U4.5 76.7%
1X 70.1%
O2.5 63.6%
GG 62.5%
U3.5 58.6%
1 50.3%
X2 49.7%
O3.5 41.4%
NG 37.5%
U2.5 36.4%
2 29.9%
Multigoal
MG 1-5 86.1%
MG 2-6 77.6%
MG 1-4 74.2%
MG 2-5 71.1%
MG 2-4 59.3%
MG 3-6 58.6%
Combo
1X+GG 45.3%
12+GG 45.1%
1+O2.5 35.2%
12+NG 35.0%
X2+GG 34.5%
1+GG 28.0%
1+O+GG 28.0%
1X+NG 24.8%
1+NG 22.3%
2+O2.5 19.7%
X+GG 17.4%
2+GG 17.1%
Reliable data
Uniao Leiria (Home)
ELO Rating
1,563
Form
-23
Current Streaks
Over 2.5
2
Feirense (Away)
ELO Rating
1,517
Form
-4
Current Streaks
Over 2.5
2
Recent Form (Last 5)
Uniao Leiria
P
V
S
S
S
4/15 pt
Feirense
V
S
P
V
S
7/15 pt
Uniao Leiria (H)
Season Statistics
(A) Feirense
1.63
Avg Goals Scored
1.13
1.44
Avg Goals Conceded
1.5
69%
% Over 2.5
50%
63%
% BTTS
50%
31%
% Clean Sheets
19%
16
Matches
16
Goal Distribution by Minutes
Uniao Leiria (H)
1-15'
2
16-30'
4
31-45'
6
46-60'
5
61-75'
5
76-90'
1
Scored (23)
Feirense (A)
1-15'
6
16-30'
1
31-45'
2
46-60'
2
61-75'
2
76-90'
5
Scored (18)

Odds

Result (1X2)
11.74
X3.70
24.38
Under / Over 2.5
Over1.77
Under2.00
BTTS
Yes (GG)1.70
No (NG)2.04
* Le quote sono soggette a variazione.

Info

  • League Liga Portugal 2
  • Season 2025/2026
  • Matchday 34
  • Date 17/05/2026