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Portimonense vs Farense Prediction: Odds & Analysis

Prediction and odds for the Liga Portugal 2 match between Portimonense and Farense. Statistical analysis with Poisson model probabilities, recent form, ELO rating and head-to-head.

Portimonense currently sits in 16 place in the Liga Portugal 2 standings, while Farense is in 15 position. At home this season, Portimonense has played 16 matches recording 4 wins, 5 draws and 7 losses, averaging 1.1 goals scored per game. Away from home, Farense has 6 wins, 5 draws and 5 losses in 16 matches, scoring an average of 1.1 goals per game. Bookmaker odds for this match: 2.52 for a Portimonense win, 3.50 for the draw, and 2.52 for a Farense victory. Portimonense comes into this match on a run of 4 consecutive scoring matches.

Liga Portugal 2
Sunday, 17 May 2026 • 22:30
Predictions
xG: 0.62 - 1.64
MG 1-3 O1.5 NG
Base
U4.5 92.1%
O0.5 90.9%
X2 84.8%
U3.5 80.8%
12 78.7%
O1.5 64.6%
NG 64.1%
2 63.5%
U2.5 60.7%
O2.5 39.3%
1X 36.5%
GG 35.9%
U1.5 35.4%
X 21.3%
Multigoal
MG 1-5 88.1%
MG 1-4 83.0%
MG 0-3 80.8%
MG 1-3 71.7%
MG 2-6 63.7%
MG 2-5 61.8%
Combo
12+NG 55.1%
X2+NG 53.8%
2+NG 44.7%
2+U2.5 32.5%
2+U+NG 32.5%
X2+GG 31.0%
2+O2.5 31.0%
12+GG 23.6%
1X+NG 19.4%
2+GG 18.8%
2+O+GG 18.8%
X+U2.5 18.3%
Reliable data
Portimonense (Home)
ELO Rating
1,475
Form
6
Current Streaks
Scoring
4
Over 2.5
4
BTTS Yes
4
Consecutive wins
3
Unbeaten
3
Farense (Away)
ELO Rating
1,563
Form
23
Current Streaks
BTTS No
3
Consecutive wins
2
Unbeaten
2
Scoring
2
Clean Sheets
2
Recent Form (Last 5)
Portimonense
S
V
S
V
P
7/15 pt
Farense
V
V
P
V
P
11/15 pt
Portimonense (H)
Season Statistics
(A) Farense
1.13
Avg Goals Scored
1.06
1.38
Avg Goals Conceded
0.94
44%
% Over 2.5
31%
69%
% BTTS
38%
6%
% Clean Sheets
44%
16
Matches
16
Goal Distribution by Minutes
Portimonense (H)
1-15'
4
16-30'
3
31-45'
2
46-60'
0
61-75'
2
76-90'
5
Scored (16)
Farense (A)
1-15'
2
16-30'
1
31-45'
3
46-60'
1
61-75'
2
76-90'
7
Scored (16)

Odds

Result (1X2)
12.52
X3.50
22.52
Under / Over 2.5
Over1.84
Under1.92
BTTS
Yes (GG)1.65
No (NG)2.11
* Le quote sono soggette a variazione.

Info

  • League Liga Portugal 2
  • Season 2025/2026
  • Matchday 34
  • Date 17/05/2026