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Varazdin vs Istra 1961 Prediction: Odds & Analysis

Prediction and odds for the HNL match between Varazdin and Istra 1961. Statistical analysis with Poisson model probabilities, recent form, ELO rating and head-to-head.

At home this season, Varazdin has played 18 matches recording 8 wins, 6 draws and 4 losses, averaging 1.3 goals scored per game. Away from home, Istra 1961 has 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 losses in 15 matches, scoring an average of 1.3 goals per game. Varazdin comes into this match on a run of 5 consecutive unbeaten matches.

HNL
Saturday, 23 May 2026 • 18:00
Predictions
xG: 1.41 - 1.25
O1.5 MG 0-3 1X
Base
O0.5 94.7%
U4.5 86.8%
12 77.3%
O1.5 72.9%
U3.5 72.1%
1X 65.1%
X2 57.6%
GG 52.5%
U2.5 50.2%
O2.5 49.8%
NG 47.5%
1 42.4%
2 34.9%
O3.5 27.9%
Multigoal
MG 1-5 89.2%
MG 1-4 81.4%
MG 0-3 72.1%
MG 2-6 71.0%
MG 2-5 67.5%
MG 1-3 66.8%
Combo
12+NG 42.2%
1X+GG 36.5%
12+GG 35.1%
X2+GG 33.3%
1X+NG 28.6%
X2+NG 24.3%
1+O2.5 24.0%
1+NG 23.2%
2+O2.5 19.2%
1+GG 19.2%
1+O+GG 19.2%
2+NG 19.0%
Reliable data
Varazdin (Home)
ELO Rating
0
Form
0
Current Streaks
Unbeaten
5
Scoring
5
Consecutive wins
2
Istra 1961 (Away)
ELO Rating
0
Form
0
Current Streaks
BTTS No
4
Under 2.5
3
Recent Form (Last 5)
Varazdin
S
P
V
V
V
10/15 pt
Istra 1961
V
S
S
S
S
3/15 pt
Varazdin (H)
Season Statistics
(A) Istra 1961
1.33
Avg Goals Scored
1.27
1.22
Avg Goals Conceded
1.53
50%
% Over 2.5
60%
61%
% BTTS
53%
33%
% Clean Sheets
13%
18
Matches
15
Goal Distribution by Minutes
Varazdin (H)
1-15'
5
16-30'
4
31-45'
4
46-60'
3
61-75'
2
76-90'
3
Scored (21)
Istra 1961 (A)
1-15'
3
16-30'
5
31-45'
3
46-60'
4
61-75'
2
76-90'
2
Scored (19)

Info

  • League HNL
  • Season 2025/2026
  • Matchday 36
  • Date 23/05/2026