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Kovalivka vs Obolon Prediction: Odds & Analysis

Prediction and odds for the Premier League Ukraine match between Kovalivka and Obolon. Statistical analysis with Poisson model probabilities, recent form, ELO rating and head-to-head.

Kovalivka currently sits in 7 place in the Premier League Ukraine standings, while Obolon is in 12 position. At home this season, Kovalivka has played 14 matches recording 6 wins, 6 draws and 2 losses, averaging 0.9 goals scored per game. Away from home, Obolon has 4 wins, 2 draws and 8 losses in 14 matches, scoring an average of 0.9 goals per game. Bookmaker odds for this match: 2.38 for a Kovalivka win, 2.93 for the draw, and 3.46 for a Obolon victory. Kovalivka comes into this match on a run of 5 consecutive unbeaten matches.

Premier League Ukraine
Sunday, 17 May 2026 • 15:30
Predictions
xG: 1.41 - 0.35
U2.5 MG 1-3 1X+NG
Base
U4.5 96.7%
1X 89.8%
U3.5 89.8%
O0.5 83.8%
NG 78.8%
12 75.3%
U2.5 74.2%
1 65.2%
O1.5 51.3%
U1.5 48.7%
X2 34.8%
O2.5 25.8%
X 24.7%
GG 21.2%
Multigoal
MG 0-3 89.8%
MG 1-5 82.9%
MG 1-4 80.5%
MG 0-2 74.2%
MG 1-3 73.7%
MG 1-2 58.1%
Combo
1X+NG 70.5%
12+NG 62.7%
1+NG 54.3%
1+U2.5 42.5%
1+U+NG 42.5%
X2+NG 24.5%
X+U2.5 23.6%
1+O2.5 22.7%
1X+GG 19.4%
X+NG 16.2%
X+U+NG 16.2%
12+GG 12.7%
Reliable data
Kovalivka (Home)
ELO Rating
2,052
Form
7
Current Streaks
Under 2.5
7
Unbeaten
5
BTTS No
4
Clean Sheets
4
Consecutive wins
3
Obolon (Away)
ELO Rating
1,813
Form
-2
Current Streaks
Winless
6
Scoring
2
Over 2.5
2
BTTS Yes
2
Recent Form (Last 5)
Kovalivka
V
V
V
V
S
12/15 pt
Obolon
P
S
P
P
S
3/15 pt
Kovalivka (H)
Season Statistics
(A) Obolon
0.86
Avg Goals Scored
0.93
0.64
Avg Goals Conceded
1.64
14%
% Over 2.5
71%
36%
% BTTS
50%
50%
% Clean Sheets
21%
14
Matches
14
Goal Distribution by Minutes
Kovalivka (H)
1-15'
3
16-30'
2
31-45'
1
46-60'
2
61-75'
3
76-90'
3
Scored (14)
Obolon (A)
1-15'
2
16-30'
3
31-45'
3
46-60'
1
61-75'
1
76-90'
2
Scored (12)

Odds

Result (1X2)
12.38
X2.93
23.46
Under / Over 2.5
Over2.46
Under1.51
BTTS
Yes (GG)2.03
No (NG)1.72
* Le quote sono soggette a variazione.

Info

  • League Premier League Ukraine
  • Season 2025/2026
  • Matchday 29
  • Date 17/05/2026