Malaga vs Santander Prediction: Odds & Analysis
Prediction and odds for the La Liga 2 match between Malaga and Santander. Statistical analysis with Poisson model probabilities, recent form, ELO rating and head-to-head.
At home this season, Malaga has played 18 matches recording 11 wins, 6 draws and 1 losses, averaging 2.1 goals scored per game. Away from home, Santander has 9 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses in 18 matches, scoring an average of 1.8 goals per game. Malaga comes into this match on a run of 14 consecutive unbeaten matches.
La Liga 2
Sunday, 24 May 2026 • 19:00
Predictions
xG:
2.36
-
1.63
1X
GG
MG 2-5
Base
O0.5
99.1%
O1.5
89.8%
12
82.3%
O2.5
76.0%
1X
72.6%
GG
71.9%
U4.5
63.2%
O3.5
56.4%
1
54.9%
X2
45.1%
U3.5
43.6%
O4.5
36.8%
NG
28.1%
2
27.4%
Multigoal
MG 2-6
78.9%
MG 1-5
77.8%
MG 2-5
68.5%
MG 3-6
65.1%
MG 1-4
62.2%
MG 3-5
54.7%
Combo
12+GG
55.1%
1X+GG
53.0%
1+O2.5
44.4%
1+GG
36.2%
1+O+GG
36.2%
X2+GG
35.6%
12+NG
27.2%
2+O2.5
20.9%
1X+NG
19.6%
2+GG
18.8%
2+O+GG
18.8%
1+NG
18.6%
Reliable data
Malaga (Home)
ELO Rating
0
Form
0
Current Streaks
Unbeaten
14
Under 2.5
2
BTTS No
2
Clean Sheets
2
Santander (Away)
ELO Rating
0
Form
0
Current Streaks
Scoring
2
Over 2.5
2
BTTS Yes
2
Recent Form (Last 5)
Malaga
P
P
P
V
S
6/15 pt
Santander
S
V
S
V
V
9/15 pt
Malaga (H)
Season Statistics
(A)
Santander
2.06
Avg Goals Scored
1.78
1.06
Avg Goals Conceded
1.67
61%
% Over 2.5
67%
61%
% BTTS
78%
33%
% Clean Sheets
11%
18
Matches
18
Goal Distribution by Minutes
Malaga (H)
1-15'
3
16-30'
2
31-45'
10
46-60'
7
61-75'
2
76-90'
9
Scored (33)
Santander (A)
1-15'
4
16-30'
4
31-45'
6
46-60'
3
61-75'
4
76-90'
3
Scored (24)
Info
- League La Liga 2
- Season 2025/2026
- Matchday 41
- Date 24/05/2026