Fleury-Merogis vs Le Puy-en-Velay Prediction: Odds & Analysis
Prediction and odds for the National 1 match between Fleury-Merogis and Le Puy-en-Velay. Statistical analysis with Poisson model probabilities, recent form, ELO rating and head-to-head.
At home this season, Fleury-Merogis has played 14 matches recording 7 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses, averaging 1.5 goals scored per game. Away from home, Le Puy-en-Velay has 7 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses in 14 matches, scoring an average of 1.5 goals per game. Bookmaker odds for this match: 2.30 for a Fleury-Merogis win, 3.20 for the draw, and 2.94 for a Le Puy-en-Velay victory. Fleury-Merogis comes into this match on a run of 4 consecutive unbeaten matches.
National 1
Friday, 01 May 2026 • 20:30
Predictions
xG:
1.37
-
0.96
1X
MG 1-3
O1.5
Base
O0.5
91.9%
U4.5
91.3%
U3.5
79.4%
12
75.9%
1X
72.0%
O1.5
65.8%
U2.5
58.9%
NG
55.7%
X2
52.1%
1
47.9%
GG
44.3%
O2.5
41.1%
U1.5
34.2%
2
28.0%
Multigoal
MG 1-5
88.8%
MG 1-4
83.2%
MG 0-3
79.4%
MG 1-3
71.3%
MG 2-6
64.9%
MG 2-5
62.7%
Combo
12+NG
47.6%
1X+NG
38.3%
1X+GG
33.7%
1+NG
30.2%
12+GG
28.3%
X2+GG
26.6%
X2+NG
25.5%
1+U2.5
24.1%
1+U+NG
24.1%
1+O2.5
23.7%
X+U2.5
19.2%
1+GG
17.7%
Reliable data
Fleury-Merogis (Home)
ELO Rating
1,561
Form
15
Current Streaks
Consecutive wins
4
Unbeaten
4
Scoring
4
Le Puy-en-Velay (Away)
ELO Rating
1,522
Form
-8
Current Streaks
Unbeaten
5
BTTS No
2
Clean Sheets
2
Recent Form (Last 5)
Fleury-Merogis
V
V
P
V
V
13/15 pt
Le Puy-en-Velay
V
V
S
P
P
8/15 pt
Fleury-Merogis (H)
Season Statistics
(A)
Le Puy-en-Velay
1.5
Avg Goals Scored
1.5
0.93
Avg Goals Conceded
0.93
57%
% Over 2.5
43%
36%
% BTTS
43%
50%
% Clean Sheets
36%
14
Matches
14
Goal Distribution by Minutes
Fleury-Merogis (H)
1-15'
2
16-30'
4
31-45'
4
46-60'
2
61-75'
5
76-90'
4
Scored (21)
Le Puy-en-Velay (A)
1-15'
5
16-30'
7
31-45'
3
46-60'
0
61-75'
3
76-90'
3
Scored (21)
Odds
Result (1X2)
12.30
X3.20
22.94
Under / Over 2.5
Over1.82
Under1.88
BTTS
Yes (GG)1.69
No (NG)2.07
* Le quote sono soggette a variazione.
Info
- League National 1
- Season 2025/2026
- Matchday 32
- Date 01/05/2026