Bastia vs Le Mans Prediction: Odds & Analysis
Prediction and odds for the Ligue 2 match between Bastia and Le Mans. Statistical analysis with Poisson model probabilities, recent form, ELO rating and head-to-head.
Bastia currently sits in 17 place in the Ligue 2 standings, while Le Mans is in 2 position. At home this season, Bastia has played 16 matches recording 3 wins, 5 draws and 8 losses, averaging 0.6 goals scored per game. Away from home, Le Mans has 6 wins, 8 draws and 2 losses in 16 matches, scoring an average of 1.8 goals per game.
Ligue 2
Saturday, 09 May 2026 • 21:00
Predictions
xG:
0.65
-
1.90
U3.5
MG 0-3
2
Base
O0.5
93.4%
U4.5
88.5%
X2
86.8%
12
81.6%
U3.5
74.8%
O1.5
70.9%
2
68.4%
NG
60.7%
U2.5
53.2%
O2.5
46.8%
GG
39.3%
1X
31.6%
U1.5
29.1%
O3.5
25.2%
Multigoal
MG 1-5
88.9%
MG 1-4
81.9%
MG 0-3
74.8%
MG 2-6
69.4%
MG 1-3
68.2%
MG 2-5
66.4%
Combo
12+NG
54.1%
X2+NG
52.3%
2+NG
45.7%
2+O2.5
38.1%
X2+GG
34.5%
2+U2.5
30.2%
2+U+NG
30.2%
12+GG
27.5%
2+GG
22.7%
2+O+GG
22.7%
1X+GG
16.6%
2+O+NG
15.4%
Reliable data
Bastia (Home)
ELO Rating
1,448
Form
18
Current Streaks
Under 2.5
8
Unbeaten
2
Scoring
2
Le Mans (Away)
ELO Rating
1,649
Form
-4
Current Streaks
Unbeaten
5
Winless
2
Under 2.5
2
Recent Form (Last 5)
Bastia
P
S
V
P
V
8/15 pt
Le Mans
V
P
V
P
P
9/15 pt
Bastia (H)
Season Statistics
(A)
Le Mans
0.63
Avg Goals Scored
1.75
1.31
Avg Goals Conceded
1.44
25%
% Over 2.5
50%
31%
% BTTS
75%
38%
% Clean Sheets
19%
16
Matches
16
Goal Distribution by Minutes
Bastia (H)
1-15'
1
16-30'
2
31-45'
2
46-60'
1
61-75'
2
76-90'
1
Scored (9)
Le Mans (A)
1-15'
3
16-30'
4
31-45'
7
46-60'
3
61-75'
2
76-90'
6
Scored (25)
Info
- League Ligue 2
- Season 2025/2026
- Matchday 34
- Date 09/05/2026