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Telstar vs Sparta Prediction: Odds & Analysis

Prediction and odds for the Eredivisie match between Telstar and Sparta. Statistical analysis with Poisson model probabilities, recent form, ELO rating and head-to-head.

At home this season, Telstar has played 15 matches recording 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 losses, averaging 1.6 goals scored per game. Away from home, Sparta has 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses in 15 matches, scoring an average of 1.2 goals per game.

Eredivisie
Wednesday, 22 April 2026 • 21:00
Predictions
xG: 1.62 - 1.56
MG 2-5 GG O2.5
Base
O0.5 97.2%
O1.5 81.2%
12 79.2%
U4.5 78.4%
GG 62.0%
O2.5 61.6%
1X 61.5%
U3.5 60.7%
X2 59.3%
1 40.7%
O3.5 39.3%
2 38.5%
U2.5 38.4%
NG 38.0%
Multigoal
MG 1-5 86.9%
MG 2-6 76.9%
MG 1-4 75.6%
MG 2-5 70.9%
MG 0-3 60.7%
MG 2-4 59.7%
Combo
12+GG 44.0%
1X+GG 40.6%
X2+GG 39.4%
12+NG 35.2%
1+O2.5 27.2%
2+O2.5 25.5%
1+GG 22.6%
1+O+GG 22.6%
2+GG 21.4%
2+O+GG 21.4%
1X+NG 21.0%
X2+NG 19.9%
Reliable data
Telstar (Home)
ELO Rating
0
Form
0
Current Streaks
No significant active streaks (≥3)
Sparta (Away)
ELO Rating
0
Form
0
Current Streaks
Winless
5
Failed to score
2
BTTS No
2
Recent Form (Last 5)
Telstar
V
S
V
S
S
6/15 pt
Sparta
P
S
V
P
S
5/15 pt
Telstar (H)
Season Statistics
(A) Sparta
1.6
Avg Goals Scored
1.2
1.8
Avg Goals Conceded
1.8
67%
% Over 2.5
60%
73%
% BTTS
40%
7%
% Clean Sheets
40%
15
Matches
15
Goal Distribution by Minutes
Telstar (H)
1-15'
2
16-30'
3
31-45'
7
46-60'
1
61-75'
4
76-90'
7
Scored (24)
Sparta (A)
1-15'
2
16-30'
0
31-45'
2
46-60'
1
61-75'
5
76-90'
8
Scored (18)

Info

  • League Eredivisie
  • Season 2025/2026
  • Matchday 31
  • Date 22/04/2026