Rosario Central vs Sarmiento Prediction: Odds & Analysis
Prediction and odds for the Liga Profesional match between Rosario Central and Sarmiento. Statistical analysis with Poisson model probabilities, recent form, ELO rating and head-to-head.
Rosario Central currently sits in 10 place in the Liga Profesional standings, while Sarmiento is in 22 position. At home this season, Rosario Central has played 6 matches recording 3 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses, averaging 1.2 goals scored per game. Away from home, Sarmiento has 1 wins, 0 draws and 5 losses in 6 matches, scoring an average of 0.5 goals per game. Bookmaker odds for this match: 1.51 for a Rosario Central win, 3.65 for the draw, and 7.60 for a Sarmiento victory.
Liga Profesional
Monday, 20 April 2026 • 02:30
Predictions
xG:
1.34
-
0.47
12
MG 1-3
NG
Base
U4.5
96.3%
U3.5
88.9%
1X
85.8%
O0.5
85.0%
12
74.3%
NG
73.7%
U2.5
72.8%
1
60.2%
O1.5
52.7%
U1.5
47.3%
X2
39.8%
O2.5
27.2%
GG
26.3%
X
25.7%
Multigoal
MG 0-3
88.9%
MG 1-5
83.9%
MG 1-4
81.3%
MG 1-3
73.9%
MG 0-2
72.8%
MG 1-2
57.7%
Combo
1X+NG
62.7%
12+NG
58.7%
1+NG
47.7%
1+U2.5
38.1%
1+U+NG
38.1%
X2+NG
26.1%
X+U2.5
23.9%
1X+GG
23.1%
1+O2.5
22.1%
12+GG
15.6%
X+NG
15.0%
X+U+NG
15.0%
Sufficient data
Rosario Central (Home)
ELO Rating
2,036
Form
-10
Current Streaks
Consecutive wins
2
Unbeaten
2
Scoring
2
Over 2.5
2
BTTS Yes
2
Sarmiento (Away)
ELO Rating
1,868
Form
7
Current Streaks
No significant active streaks (≥3)
Recent Form (Last 5)
Rosario Central
P
V
S
V
S
7/15 pt
Sarmiento
P
S
V
V
S
7/15 pt
Rosario Central (H)
Season Statistics
(A)
Sarmiento
1.17
Avg Goals Scored
0.5
0.83
Avg Goals Conceded
1.33
50%
% Over 2.5
33%
50%
% BTTS
33%
33%
% Clean Sheets
0%
6
Matches
6
Goal Distribution by Minutes
Rosario Central (H)
1-15'
4
16-30'
0
31-45'
5
46-60'
5
61-75'
4
76-90'
4
Scored (22)
Sarmiento (A)
1-15'
0
16-30'
2
31-45'
2
46-60'
1
61-75'
2
76-90'
2
Scored (9)
Odds
Result (1X2)
11.51
X3.65
27.60
Under / Over 2.5
Over2.26
Under1.62
BTTS
Yes (GG)2.31
No (NG)1.55
* Le quote sono soggette a variazione.
Info
- League Liga Profesional
- Season 2025/2026
- Matchday 15
- Date 20/04/2026