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Huachipato vs A. Italiano Prediction: Odds & Analysis

Prediction and odds for the Primera División Chile match between Huachipato and A. Italiano. Statistical analysis with Poisson model probabilities, recent form, ELO rating and head-to-head.

Huachipato currently sits in 5 place in the Primera División Chile standings, while A. Italiano is in 13 position. At home this season, Huachipato has played 4 matches recording 3 wins, 0 draws and 1 losses, averaging 2.5 goals scored per game. Away from home, A. Italiano has 0 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses in 4 matches, scoring an average of 0.3 goals per game. Bookmaker odds for this match: 2.14 for a Huachipato win, 3.40 for the draw, and 3.21 for a A. Italiano victory. Huachipato comes into this match on a run of 7 consecutive scoring matches.

Primera División Chile
Monday, 20 April 2026 • 03:45
Predictions
xG: 2.99 - 0.30
1X+NG MG 1-4 1+NG
Base
1X 97.6%
O0.5 96.7%
12 93.0%
1 90.6%
O1.5 83.6%
U4.5 76.5%
NG 75.8%
O2.5 63.8%
U3.5 58.3%
O3.5 41.7%
U2.5 36.2%
GG 24.2%
O4.5 23.5%
U1.5 16.4%
Multigoal
MG 1-5 85.2%
MG 2-6 78.6%
MG 1-4 73.2%
MG 2-5 72.0%
MG 2-4 60.1%
MG 3-6 58.8%
Combo
1X+NG 74.1%
12+NG 72.5%
1+NG 70.8%
1+O2.5 62.3%
1+O+NG 42.5%
1+U2.5 28.3%
1+U+NG 28.3%
1X+GG 23.5%
12+GG 20.4%
1+GG 19.8%
1+O+GG 19.8%
Limited data
Huachipato (Home)
ELO Rating
2,045
Form
6
Current Streaks
Scoring
7
Over 2.5
5
BTTS Yes
5
A. Italiano (Away)
ELO Rating
1,959
Form
-4
Current Streaks
Winless
6
Over 2.5
2
Recent Form (Last 5)
Huachipato
S
S
S
V
V
6/15 pt
A. Italiano
S
S
V
S
S
3/15 pt
Huachipato (H)
Season Statistics
(A) A. Italiano
2.5
Avg Goals Scored
0.25
1.5
Avg Goals Conceded
1.5
100%
% Over 2.5
50%
100%
% BTTS
25%
0%
% Clean Sheets
25%
4
Matches
4
Goal Distribution by Minutes
Huachipato (H)
1-15'
0
16-30'
2
31-45'
4
46-60'
4
61-75'
5
76-90'
10
Scored (25)
A. Italiano (A)
1-15'
2
16-30'
1
31-45'
1
46-60'
5
61-75'
3
76-90'
5
Scored (17)

Odds

Result (1X2)
12.14
X3.40
23.21
Under / Over 2.5
Over1.94
Under1.82
BTTS
Yes (GG)1.74
No (NG)1.98
* Le quote sono soggette a variazione.

Info

  • League Primera División Chile
  • Season 2025/2026
  • Matchday 10
  • Date 20/04/2026