A. Italiano vs Deportes La Serena Prediction: Odds & Analysis
Prediction and odds for the Primera División Chile match between A. Italiano and Deportes La Serena. Statistical analysis with Poisson model probabilities, recent form, ELO rating and head-to-head.
At home this season, A. Italiano has played 7 matches recording 4 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses, averaging 2.0 goals scored per game. Away from home, Deportes La Serena has 1 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses in 6 matches, scoring an average of 1.2 goals per game. A. Italiano comes into this match on a run of 4 consecutive scoring matches.
Primera División Chile
Saturday, 13 June 2026 • 03:00
Predictions
xG:
3.56
-
1.01
1+O2.5
MG 1-5
O3.5
Base
O0.5
99.4%
O1.5
93.7%
1X
93.0%
12
91.2%
1
84.2%
O2.5
83.4%
O3.5
66.9%
GG
61.2%
U4.5
52.0%
O4.5
48.0%
NG
38.8%
U3.5
33.1%
U2.5
16.6%
X2
15.8%
Multigoal
MG 2-6
76.0%
MG 1-5
68.6%
MG 3-6
65.7%
MG 2-5
62.9%
MG 3-5
52.6%
MG 1-4
51.4%
Combo
1+O2.5
73.5%
1X+GG
56.5%
12+GG
52.9%
1+GG
48.3%
1+O+GG
48.3%
12+NG
38.3%
1X+NG
36.5%
1+NG
36.0%
1+O+NG
25.2%
X2+GG
12.9%
1+U2.5
10.8%
1+U+NG
10.8%
Sufficient data
A. Italiano (Home)
ELO Rating
1,959
Form
2
Current Streaks
Scoring
4
Over 2.5
4
BTTS Yes
3
Unbeaten
2
Deportes La Serena (Away)
ELO Rating
1,902
Form
2
Current Streaks
Winless
4
Over 2.5
4
Scoring
2
BTTS Yes
2
Recent Form (Last 5)
A. Italiano
S
P
S
V
P
5/15 pt
Deportes La Serena
P
P
S
V
S
5/15 pt
A. Italiano (H)
Season Statistics
(A)
Deportes La Serena
2
Avg Goals Scored
1.17
1.14
Avg Goals Conceded
2.5
71%
% Over 2.5
67%
43%
% BTTS
50%
43%
% Clean Sheets
17%
7
Matches
6
Goal Distribution by Minutes
A. Italiano (H)
1-15'
5
16-30'
2
31-45'
4
46-60'
6
61-75'
6
76-90'
6
Scored (29)
Deportes La Serena (A)
1-15'
4
16-30'
1
31-45'
2
46-60'
4
61-75'
3
76-90'
4
Scored (18)
Info
- League Primera División Chile
- Season 2025/2026
- Matchday 15
- Date 13/06/2026