Mirassol vs Gremio Prediction: Odds & Analysis
Prediction and odds for the Serie A Brasil match between Mirassol and Gremio. Statistical analysis with Poisson model probabilities, recent form, ELO rating and head-to-head.
At home this season, Mirassol has played 9 matches recording 3 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses, averaging 1.2 goals scored per game. Away from home, Gremio has 0 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses in 9 matches, scoring an average of 0.6 goals per game. Mirassol comes into this match on a run of 4 consecutive scoring matches.
Serie A Brasil
Wednesday, 22 July 2026 • 23:00
Predictions
xG:
1.05
-
0.60
MG 1-3
NG
12
Base
U4.5
97.3%
U3.5
91.4%
O0.5
82.4%
1X
77.6%
U2.5
76.9%
NG
72.1%
12
69.8%
X2
52.6%
U1.5
52.3%
O1.5
47.7%
1
47.4%
X
30.2%
GG
27.9%
O2.5
23.1%
Multigoal
MG 0-3
91.4%
MG 1-5
81.7%
MG 1-4
79.8%
MG 0-2
76.9%
MG 1-3
73.8%
MG 1-2
59.4%
Combo
1X+NG
54.7%
12+NG
54.6%
1+NG
37.2%
X2+NG
35.0%
1+U2.5
32.2%
1+U+NG
32.2%
X+U2.5
28.1%
1X+GG
22.9%
X2+GG
17.6%
X+NG
17.6%
X+U+NG
17.6%
2+NG
17.4%
Sufficient data
Mirassol (Home)
ELO Rating
0
Form
0
Current Streaks
Scoring
4
Unbeaten
3
Under 2.5
2
Gremio (Away)
ELO Rating
0
Form
0
Current Streaks
Winless
15
Under 2.5
4
Unbeaten
2
Recent Form (Last 5)
Mirassol
S
V
P
S
V
7/15 pt
Gremio
V
P
S
P
V
8/15 pt
Mirassol (H)
Season Statistics
(A)
Gremio
1.22
Avg Goals Scored
0.56
1.22
Avg Goals Conceded
1.33
56%
% Over 2.5
33%
67%
% BTTS
56%
11%
% Clean Sheets
22%
9
Matches
9
Goal Distribution by Minutes
Mirassol (H)
1-15'
3
16-30'
3
31-45'
8
46-60'
3
61-75'
3
76-90'
1
Scored (21)
Gremio (A)
1-15'
1
16-30'
0
31-45'
3
46-60'
3
61-75'
2
76-90'
1
Scored (10)
Info
- League Serie A Brasil
- Season 2025/2026
- Matchday 19
- Date 22/07/2026