Waterford vs Drogheda United Prediction: Odds & Analysis
Prediction and odds for the League of Ireland Premier match between Waterford and Drogheda United. Statistical analysis with Poisson model probabilities, recent form, ELO rating and head-to-head.
Waterford currently sits in 10 place in the League of Ireland Premier standings, while Drogheda United is in 8 position. At home this season, Waterford has played 6 matches recording 0 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses, averaging 0.5 goals scored per game. Away from home, Drogheda United has 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in 6 matches, scoring an average of 1.7 goals per game. Waterford comes into this match on a run of 8 consecutive winless matches.
League of Ireland Premier
Monday, 18 May 2026 • 21:45
Predictions
xG:
0.67
-
1.46
MG 1-3
U2.5
NG
Base
U4.5
93.5%
O0.5
89.6%
U3.5
83.3%
X2
81.4%
12
76.3%
U2.5
64.2%
NG
64.0%
O1.5
61.3%
2
57.7%
1X
42.3%
U1.5
38.7%
GG
36.0%
O2.5
35.8%
X
23.7%
Multigoal
MG 1-5
87.4%
MG 0-3
83.3%
MG 1-4
83.1%
MG 1-3
72.9%
MG 0-2
64.2%
MG 2-6
60.6%
Combo
12+NG
53.6%
X2+NG
51.2%
2+NG
40.8%
2+U2.5
31.5%
2+U+NG
31.5%
X2+GG
30.2%
2+O2.5
26.2%
1X+NG
23.3%
12+GG
22.7%
X+U2.5
20.5%
1X+GG
19.0%
2+GG
16.9%
Sufficient data
Waterford (Home)
ELO Rating
0
Form
0
Current Streaks
Winless
8
Under 2.5
7
Unbeaten
2
Scoring
2
BTTS Yes
2
Drogheda United (Away)
ELO Rating
0
Form
0
Current Streaks
Scoring
7
BTTS Yes
5
Over 2.5
4
Unbeaten
2
Recent Form (Last 5)
Waterford
S
P
P
S
P
3/15 pt
Drogheda United
P
P
S
S
V
5/15 pt
Waterford (H)
Season Statistics
(A)
Drogheda United
0.5
Avg Goals Scored
1.67
1
Avg Goals Conceded
2
0%
% Over 2.5
67%
50%
% BTTS
83%
17%
% Clean Sheets
17%
6
Matches
6
Goal Distribution by Minutes
Waterford (H)
1-15'
1
16-30'
2
31-45'
5
46-60'
3
61-75'
1
76-90'
3
Scored (15)
Drogheda United (A)
1-15'
2
16-30'
1
31-45'
0
46-60'
3
61-75'
5
76-90'
6
Scored (17)
Info
- League League of Ireland Premier
- Season 2025/2026
- Matchday 11
- Date 18/05/2026