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St. Patricks vs Shelbourne Prediction: Odds & Analysis

Prediction and odds for the League of Ireland Premier match between St. Patricks and Shelbourne. Statistical analysis with Poisson model probabilities, recent form, ELO rating and head-to-head.

At home this season, St. Patricks has played 7 matches recording 5 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses, averaging 2.3 goals scored per game. Away from home, Shelbourne has 3 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses in 5 matches, scoring an average of 1.6 goals per game.

League of Ireland Premier
Friday, 16 October 2026 • 21:45
Predictions
xG: 1.84 - 0.80
U3.5 MG 0-3 1
Base
O0.5 94.2%
U4.5 87.2%
1X 82.8%
12 80.5%
U3.5 72.8%
O1.5 72.6%
1 63.4%
NG 55.1%
U2.5 50.9%
O2.5 49.1%
GG 44.9%
X2 36.6%
U1.5 27.4%
O3.5 27.2%
Multigoal
MG 1-5 89.0%
MG 1-4 81.4%
MG 0-3 72.8%
MG 2-6 70.8%
MG 2-5 67.4%
MG 1-3 67.0%
Combo
12+NG 49.3%
1X+NG 44.9%
1+NG 39.2%
1X+GG 37.9%
1+O2.5 36.8%
12+GG 31.2%
1+U2.5 26.6%
1+U+NG 26.6%
1+GG 24.2%
1+O+GG 24.2%
X2+GG 20.7%
X2+NG 15.9%
Sufficient data
St. Patricks (Home)
ELO Rating
0
Form
0
Current Streaks
No significant active streaks (≥3)
Shelbourne (Away)
ELO Rating
0
Form
0
Current Streaks
Scoring
15
Recent Form (Last 5)
St. Patricks
V
S
S
V
V
9/15 pt
Shelbourne
V
S
S
S
S
3/15 pt
St. Patricks (H)
Season Statistics
(A) Shelbourne
2.29
Avg Goals Scored
1.6
0.57
Avg Goals Conceded
1.2
57%
% Over 2.5
60%
43%
% BTTS
80%
43%
% Clean Sheets
20%
7
Matches
5
Goal Distribution by Minutes
St. Patricks (H)
1-15'
3
16-30'
3
31-45'
4
46-60'
8
61-75'
4
76-90'
4
Scored (26)
Shelbourne (A)
1-15'
5
16-30'
1
31-45'
4
46-60'
4
61-75'
3
76-90'
6
Scored (23)

Info

  • League League of Ireland Premier
  • Season 2025/2026
  • Matchday 34
  • Date 16/10/2026