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Dallas vs Minnesota Prediction: Odds & Analysis

Prediction and odds for the MLS match between Dallas and Minnesota. Statistical analysis with Poisson model probabilities, recent form, ELO rating and head-to-head.

Dallas currently sits in 7 place in the MLS standings, while Minnesota is in 15 position. At home this season, Dallas has played 5 matches recording 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses, averaging 2.2 goals scored per game. Away from home, Minnesota has 1 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses in 4 matches, scoring an average of 1.3 goals per game. Bookmaker odds for this match: 2.28 for a Dallas win, 3.73 for the draw, and 3.09 for a Minnesota victory. Dallas comes into this match on a run of 10 consecutive unbeaten matches.

MLS
Thursday, 23 April 2026 • 03:30
Predictions
xG: 3.64 - 1.74
1 1+O2.5 12+GG
Base
O0.5 99.9%
O1.5 96.7%
O2.5 90.4%
12 87.8%
1X 85.2%
GG 79.9%
O3.5 78.4%
1 73.0%
O4.5 62.3%
U4.5 37.7%
X2 27.0%
U3.5 21.6%
NG 20.1%
2 14.8%
Multigoal
MG 2-6 67.2%
MG 3-6 61.0%
MG 1-5 54.9%
MG 2-5 51.7%
MG 4-6 49.0%
MG 3-5 45.4%
Combo
1+O2.5 67.9%
12+GG 67.8%
1X+GG 67.7%
1+GG 55.5%
1+O+GG 55.5%
X2+GG 24.4%
12+NG 20.0%
1X+NG 17.5%
1+NG 17.4%
2+O2.5 12.9%
1+O+NG 12.3%
2+GG 12.3%
Limited data
Dallas (Home)
ELO Rating
0
Form
9
Current Streaks
Unbeaten
10
Scoring
3
BTTS Yes
3
Minnesota (Away)
ELO Rating
0
Form
0
Current Streaks
Over 2.5
5
Recent Form (Last 5)
Dallas
S
P
V
V
P
8/15 pt
Minnesota
V
S
S
P
V
7/15 pt
Dallas (H)
Season Statistics
(A) Minnesota
2.2
Avg Goals Scored
1.25
1.8
Avg Goals Conceded
3
60%
% Over 2.5
100%
80%
% BTTS
75%
20%
% Clean Sheets
0%
5
Matches
4
Goal Distribution by Minutes
Dallas (H)
1-15'
8
16-30'
3
31-45'
7
46-60'
5
61-75'
4
76-90'
5
Scored (32)
Minnesota (A)
1-15'
2
16-30'
0
31-45'
7
46-60'
5
61-75'
3
76-90'
6
Scored (23)

Odds

Result (1X2)
12.28
X3.73
23.09
Under / Over 2.5
Over1.70
Under2.26
BTTS
Yes (GG)1.53
No (NG)2.35
* Le quote sono soggette a variazione.

Info

  • League MLS
  • Season 2025/2026
  • Date 23/04/2026