Toronto vs San Jose Prediction: Odds & Analysis
Prediction and odds for the MLS match between Toronto and San Jose. Statistical analysis with Poisson model probabilities, recent form, ELO rating and head-to-head.
Toronto currently sits in 11 place in the MLS standings, while San Jose is in 1 position. At home this season, Toronto has played 7 matches recording 2 wins, 4 draws and 1 losses, averaging 2.0 goals scored per game. Away from home, San Jose has 4 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses in 4 matches, scoring an average of 2.3 goals per game. Bookmaker odds for this match: 3.45 for a Toronto win, 3.74 for the draw, and 2.11 for a San Jose victory. Toronto comes into this match on a run of 14 consecutive scoring matches.
MLS
Saturday, 02 May 2026 • 20:00
Predictions
xG:
0.66
-
3.82
MG 1-5
O3.5
NG
Base
O0.5
99.2%
X2
96.8%
12
94.4%
O1.5
93.4%
2
91.2%
O2.5
82.4%
O3.5
65.3%
U4.5
53.7%
NG
53.2%
GG
46.8%
O4.5
46.3%
U3.5
34.7%
U2.5
17.6%
1X
8.8%
Multigoal
MG 2-6
76.9%
MG 1-5
70.0%
MG 3-6
65.9%
MG 2-5
64.2%
MG 3-5
53.2%
MG 1-4
53.0%
Combo
2+O2.5
78.2%
12+NG
52.5%
X2+NG
51.8%
2+NG
51.1%
X2+GG
45.0%
12+GG
41.9%
2+GG
40.1%
2+O+GG
40.1%
2+O+NG
38.0%
2+U2.5
13.0%
2+U+NG
13.0%
Limited data
Toronto (Home)
ELO Rating
1,900
Form
-11
Current Streaks
Scoring
14
BTTS Yes
12
Winless
4
Over 2.5
3
San Jose (Away)
ELO Rating
0
Form
0
Current Streaks
Scoring
15
Consecutive wins
4
Unbeaten
4
Over 2.5
2
BTTS Yes
2
Recent Form (Last 5)
Toronto
V
P
P
P
S
6/15 pt
San Jose
V
V
V
V
V
15/15 pt
Toronto (H)
Season Statistics
(A)
San Jose
2
Avg Goals Scored
2.25
1.86
Avg Goals Conceded
0.75
71%
% Over 2.5
50%
100%
% BTTS
50%
0%
% Clean Sheets
50%
7
Matches
4
Goal Distribution by Minutes
Toronto (H)
1-15'
2
16-30'
0
31-45'
2
46-60'
8
61-75'
5
76-90'
9
Scored (26)
San Jose (A)
1-15'
2
16-30'
2
31-45'
1
46-60'
8
61-75'
5
76-90'
7
Scored (25)
Odds
Result (1X2)
13.45
X3.74
22.11
Under / Over 2.5
Over1.66
Under2.34
BTTS
Yes (GG)1.50
No (NG)2.42
* Le quote sono soggette a variazione.
Info
- League MLS
- Season 2025/2026
- Date 02/05/2026