Skip to main content

Atlanta Utd vs Montreal Prediction: Odds & Analysis

Prediction and odds for the MLS match between Atlanta Utd and Montreal. Statistical analysis with Poisson model probabilities, recent form, ELO rating and head-to-head.

Atlanta Utd currently sits in 23 place in the MLS standings, while Montreal is in 20 position. At home this season, Atlanta Utd has played 6 matches recording 1 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses, averaging 1.2 goals scored per game. Away from home, Montreal has 1 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses in 5 matches, scoring an average of 1.4 goals per game. Bookmaker odds for this match: 2.04 for a Atlanta Utd win, 3.74 for the draw, and 3.66 for a Montreal victory. Atlanta Utd comes into this match on a run of 4 consecutive winless matches.

Predictions
xG: 1.22 - 2.70
O2.5 2 MG 2-5
Base
O0.5 98.9%
O1.5 89.4%
12 85.4%
X2 84.2%
O2.5 74.9%
2 69.6%
GG 64.8%
U4.5 64.5%
O3.5 55.0%
U3.5 45.0%
O4.5 35.5%
NG 35.2%
1X 30.4%
U2.5 25.1%
Multigoal
MG 2-6 79.2%
MG 1-5 78.7%
MG 2-5 69.2%
MG 3-6 64.7%
MG 1-4 63.4%
MG 3-5 54.8%
Combo
2+O2.5 56.1%
X2+GG 54.6%
12+GG 51.3%
2+GG 41.1%
2+O+GG 41.1%
12+NG 34.1%
X2+NG 29.6%
2+NG 28.5%
1X+GG 23.7%
2+O+NG 15.0%
X+GG 13.5%
2+U2.5 13.5%
Sufficient data
Atlanta Utd (Home)
ELO Rating
1,781
Form
-6
Current Streaks
Winless
4
Montreal (Away)
ELO Rating
1,899
Form
5
Current Streaks
Over 2.5
7
Scoring
3
Winless
2
BTTS Yes
2
Recent Form (Last 5)
Atlanta Utd
S
S
S
S
V
3/15 pt
Montreal
S
S
S
V
V
6/15 pt
Atlanta Utd (H)
Season Statistics
(A) Montreal
1.17
Avg Goals Scored
1.4
1.83
Avg Goals Conceded
2.8
67%
% Over 2.5
100%
67%
% BTTS
40%
17%
% Clean Sheets
20%
6
Matches
5
Goal Distribution by Minutes
Atlanta Utd (H)
1-15'
3
16-30'
4
31-45'
3
46-60'
5
61-75'
4
76-90'
7
Scored (26)
Montreal (A)
1-15'
3
16-30'
2
31-45'
6
46-60'
3
61-75'
3
76-90'
6
Scored (23)

Odds

Result (1X2)
12.04
X3.74
23.66
Under / Over 2.5
Over1.75
Under2.17
BTTS
Yes (GG)1.58
No (NG)2.23
* Le quote sono soggette a variazione.

Info

  • League MLS
  • Season 2025/2026
  • Date 03/05/2026