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Inter Miami vs Philadelphia Prediction: Odds & Analysis

Prediction and odds for the MLS match between Inter Miami and Philadelphia. Statistical analysis with Poisson model probabilities, recent form, ELO rating and head-to-head.

At home this season, Inter Miami has played 4 matches recording 0 wins, 3 draws and 1 losses, averaging 2.0 goals scored per game. Away from home, Philadelphia has 1 wins, 1 draws and 6 losses in 8 matches, scoring an average of 1.4 goals per game. Inter Miami comes into this match on a run of 10 consecutive scoring matches.

Predictions
xG: 2.34 - 2.31
O3.5 MG 1-5 12+GG
Base
O0.5 99.7%
O1.5 94.0%
O2.5 84.3%
12 82.3%
GG 80.8%
O3.5 68.3%
1X 59.5%
X2 58.3%
U4.5 50.3%
O4.5 49.7%
1 41.7%
2 40.5%
U3.5 31.7%
NG 19.2%
Multigoal
MG 2-6 75.0%
MG 1-5 67.3%
MG 3-6 65.4%
MG 2-5 61.6%
MG 3-5 51.9%
MG 1-4 50.0%
Combo
12+GG 63.3%
1X+GG 49.5%
X2+GG 48.7%
1+O2.5 36.2%
2+O2.5 35.1%
1+GG 32.1%
1+O+GG 32.1%
2+GG 31.2%
2+O+GG 31.2%
12+NG 18.9%
X+GG 17.4%
X+O2.5 13.0%
Limited data
Inter Miami (Home)
ELO Rating
0
Form
0
Current Streaks
Scoring
10
Winless
4
BTTS Yes
4
Philadelphia (Away)
ELO Rating
0
Form
0
Current Streaks
Winless
4
Scoring
2
Over 2.5
2
BTTS Yes
2
Recent Form (Last 5)
Inter Miami
V
P
S
V
V
10/15 pt
Philadelphia
P
S
P
S
S
2/15 pt
Inter Miami (H)
Season Statistics
(A) Philadelphia
2
Avg Goals Scored
1.38
2.25
Avg Goals Conceded
2.25
75%
% Over 2.5
75%
100%
% BTTS
75%
0%
% Clean Sheets
0%
4
Matches
8
Goal Distribution by Minutes
Inter Miami (H)
1-15'
5
16-30'
4
31-45'
9
46-60'
5
61-75'
9
76-90'
7
Scored (39)
Philadelphia (A)
1-15'
1
16-30'
1
31-45'
4
46-60'
6
61-75'
3
76-90'
4
Scored (19)

Info

  • League MLS
  • Season 2025/2026
  • Date 25/05/2026