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Dundalk vs Drogheda United Prediction: Odds & Analysis

Prediction and odds for the League of Ireland Premier match between Dundalk and Drogheda United. Statistical analysis with Poisson model probabilities, recent form, ELO rating and head-to-head.

At home this season, Dundalk has played 10 matches recording 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses, averaging 1.8 goals scored per game. Away from home, Drogheda United has 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses in 10 matches, scoring an average of 1.3 goals per game. Dundalk comes into this match on a run of 15 consecutive scoring matches.

League of Ireland Premier
Friday, 10 July 2026 • 21:45
Predictions
xG: 2.62 - 1.07
1 O2.5 MG 2-5
Base
O0.5 98.4%
O1.5 87.4%
1X 85.9%
12 85.6%
1 71.5%
O2.5 71.3%
U4.5 68.9%
GG 60.0%
O3.5 50.4%
U3.5 49.6%
NG 40.0%
O4.5 31.1%
U2.5 28.7%
X2 28.5%
Multigoal
MG 1-5 81.5%
MG 2-6 79.3%
MG 2-5 70.5%
MG 1-4 67.3%
MG 3-6 63.2%
MG 2-4 56.3%
Combo
1+O2.5 55.5%
1X+GG 51.5%
12+GG 47.2%
1+GG 38.7%
1+O+GG 38.7%
12+NG 38.4%
1X+NG 34.4%
1+NG 32.8%
X2+GG 21.2%
1+O+NG 16.7%
1+U2.5 16.0%
1+U+NG 16.0%
Reliable data
Dundalk (Home)
ELO Rating
0
Form
0
Current Streaks
Scoring
15
Consecutive wins
2
Unbeaten
2
Drogheda United (Away)
ELO Rating
0
Form
0
Current Streaks
Winless
4
Recent Form (Last 5)
Dundalk
V
P
V
V
V
13/15 pt
Drogheda United
S
P
P
S
P
3/15 pt
Dundalk (H)
Season Statistics
(A) Drogheda United
1.8
Avg Goals Scored
1.3
1
Avg Goals Conceded
2.2
60%
% Over 2.5
70%
60%
% BTTS
80%
40%
% Clean Sheets
10%
10
Matches
10
Goal Distribution by Minutes
Dundalk (H)
1-15'
3
16-30'
4
31-45'
6
46-60'
8
61-75'
2
76-90'
13
Scored (36)
Drogheda United (A)
1-15'
2
16-30'
0
31-45'
0
46-60'
4
61-75'
5
76-90'
6
Scored (17)

Info

  • League League of Ireland Premier
  • Season 2025/2026
  • Matchday 24
  • Date 10/07/2026